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Ensemble weather predictions typically show systematic errors that have to be corrected via post-processing. Even state-of-the-art post-processing methods based on neural networks often solely rely on location-specific predictors that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Sebastian Lerch , Kai L. Polsterer

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell

Nonstationary non-Gaussian spatial data are common in many disciplines, including climate science, ecology, epidemiology, and social sciences. Examples include count data on disease incidence and binary satellite data on cloud mask…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-30 Benjamin Seiyon Lee , Jaewoo Park

As with the advancement of geographical information systems, non-Gaussian spatial data sets are getting larger and more diverse. This study develops a general framework for fast and flexible non-Gaussian regression, especially for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita , Tomoko Matsui

Learning precise surrogate models of complex computer simulations and physical machines often require long-lasting or expensive experiments. Furthermore, the modeled physical dependencies exhibit nonlinear and nonstationary behavior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Matthias Bitzer , Mona Meister , Christoph Zimmer

Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-29 Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Spatio-temporal covariances are important for describing the spatio-temporal variability of underlying random processes in geostatistical data. For second-order stationary processes, there exist subclasses of covariance functions that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-05 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Biological nervous systems constitute important sources of inspiration towards computers that are faster, cheaper, and more energy efficient. Neuromorphic disciplines view the brain as a coevolved system, simultaneously optimizing the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Jens Egholm Pedersen , Jörg Conradt , Tony Lindeberg

3D microscopy is key in the investigation of diverse biological systems, and the ever increasing availability of large datasets demands automatic cell identification methods that not only are accurate, but also can imply the uncertainty in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Alvaro Gomariz , Tiziano Portenier , César Nombela-Arrieta , Orcun Goksel

By default neural networks are not robust to changes in data distribution. This has been demonstrated with simple image corruptions, such as blurring or adding noise, degrading image classification performance. Many methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Ian Mason , Anirban Sarkar , Tomotake Sasaki , Xavier Boix

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

It has been a long-standing materials science challenge to establish structure-property relations in amorphous solids. Here we introduce a rotation-variant local structure representation that enables different predictions for different…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-03-15 Zhao Fan , Evan Ma

Recent works have demonstrated that the sample complexity of gradient-based learning of single index models, i.e. functions that depend on a 1-dimensional projection of the input data, is governed by their information exponent. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Alireza Mousavi-Hosseini , Denny Wu , Taiji Suzuki , Murat A. Erdogdu

Multivariate spatial modeling is key to understanding the behavior of materials downstream in a mining operation. The ore recovery depends on the mineralogical composition, which needs to be properly captured by the model to allow for good…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-03 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Compositional data, such as regional shares of economic sectors or property transactions, are central to understanding structural change in economic systems across space and time. This paper introduces a spatiotemporal multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Matthias Eckardt , Philipp Otto

For centuries, scientists have observed nature to understand the laws that govern the physical world. The traditional process of turning observations into physical understanding is slow. Imperfect models are constructed and tested to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-27 M. Giselle Fernández-Godino , Donald D. Lucas , Qingkai Kong

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in numerical modeling, enabling the integration of real-world observations into mathematical models to enhance the accuracy and predictive capabilities of simulations. This approach is widely applied…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Alexander Lobbe , Dan Crisan , Oana Lang

Capturing the structure of a data-generating process by means of appropriate inductive biases can help in learning models that generalize well and are robust to changes in the input distribution. While methods that harness spatial and…

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