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The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

This paper deals with a nonlinear filtering problem in which a multi-dimensional signal process is additively affected by a process $\nu$ whose components have paths of bounded variation. The presence of the process $\nu$ prevents from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Alessandro Calvia , Giorgio Ferrari

A large amount of recent research has the far-reaching goal of finding training methods for deep neural networks that can serve as alternatives to backpropagation (BP). A prominent example is predictive coding (PC), which is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Luca Pinchetti , Tommaso Salvatori , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Thomas Lukasiewicz

The problem of polar coding for an arbitrary sequence of independent binary-input memoryless symmetric (BMS) channels $\left\{W_i\right\}_{i=1}^{N}$ is considered. The sequence of channels is assumed to be completely known to both the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Hessam Mahdavifar

Density deconvolution deals with the estimation of the probability density function $f$ of a random signal from $n\geq1$ data observed with independent and known additive random noise. This is a classical problem in statistics, for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

Let $\mathscr{P}(E)$ be the space of probability measures on a measurable space $(E,\mathcal{E})$. In this paper we introduce a class of nonlinear Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for simulating from a probability measure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Christophe Andrieu , Ajay Jasra , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre Del Moral

Exoplanet observations are currently analysed with Bayesian retrieval techniques. Due to the computational load of the models used, a compromise is needed between model complexity and computing time. Analysis of data from future facilities,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Francisco Ardevol Martinez , Michiel Min , Inga Kamp , Paul I. Palmer

We consider a problem of statistical mean estimation in which the samples are not observed directly, but are instead observed by a relay (``teacher'') that transmits information through a memoryless channel to the decoder (``student''), who…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yan Hao Ling , Zhouhao Yang , Jonathan Scarlett

Non linear regression models are a standard tool for modeling real phenomena, with several applications in machine learning, ecology, econometry... Estimating the parameters of the model has garnered a lot of attention during many years. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-17 Peggy Cénac , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

The likelihood decoder is a stochastic decoder that selects the decoded message at random, using the posterior distribution of the true underlying message given the channel output. In this work, we study a generalized version of this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

In this letter, we analyse the properties of a maximum likelihood channel estimator based on the syndrome of a linear code. For the two examples of a binary symmetric channel and a binary input additive white Gaussian noise channel, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-12 Gottfried Lechner , Christoph Pacher

The decomposition of non-stationary signals is an important and challenging task in the field of signal time-frequency analysis. In the recent two decades, many signal decomposition methods led by the empirical mode decomposition, which was…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Feng Zhou , Antonio Cicone , Haomin Zhou

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

Spectral estimation (SE) aims to identify how the energy of a signal (e.g., a time series) is distributed across different frequencies. This can become particularly challenging when only partial and noisy observations of the signal are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-15 Felipe Tobar

Gaussian graphical models, where it is assumed that the variables of interest jointly follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sparse precision matrix, have been used to study intrinsic dependence among variables, but the normality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper finds new tight finite-blocklength bounds for the best achievable lossy joint source-channel code rate, and demonstrates that joint source-channel code design brings considerable performance advantage over a separate one in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-05 Victoria Kostina , Sergio Verdú

We introduce a trainable coded modulation scheme that enables joint optimization of the bit-wise mutual information (BMI) through probabilistic shaping, geometric shaping, bit labeling, and demapping for a specific channel model and for a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Fayçal Ait Aoudia , Jakob Hoydis

This paper considers a sequential estimation and sensor scheduling problem with one sensor and one estimator. The sensor makes sequential observations about the state of an underlying memoryless stochastic process, and makes a decision as…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Xiaobin Gao , Emrah Akyol , Tamer Basar