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Large language Models (LLMs) are highly sensitive to variations in prompt formulation, which can significantly impact their ability to generate accurate responses. In this paper, we introduce a new task, Prompt Sensitivity Prediction, and a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Amirhossein Razavi , Mina Soltangheis , Negar Arabzadeh , Sara Salamat , Morteza Zihayat , Ebrahim Bagheri

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi

Behavior prediction based on historical behavioral data have practical real-world significance. It has been applied in recommendation, predicting academic performance, etc. With the refinement of user data description, the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Chunyang Wang , Jianyu Ding , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

In high dimensional analysis, effects of explanatory variables on responses sometimes rely on certain exposure variables, such as time or environmental factors. In this paper, to characterize the importance of each predictor, we utilize its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Yeqing Zhou , Jingyuan Liu , Zhihui Hao , Liping Zhu

Individual events at high-energy colliders like the LHC can be represented by a sequence of measurements, or 'point patterns' in an observable space. Starting from this data representation, we build a simple Bayesian probabilistic model for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-12-17 Darius A. Faroughy

Many processes of scientific importance are characterized by time scales that extend far beyond the reach of standard simulation techniques. To circumvent this impediment a plethora of enhanced sampling methods has been developed. One…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Dan Mendels , Giovannimaria Piccini , Z. Faidon Brotzakis , Yi I. Yang , Michele Parrinello

Large Language Models (LLMs) frequently generate plausible but non-factual content, a phenomenon known as hallucination. While existing detection methods typically rely on computationally expensive sampling-based consistency checks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Dan Wilson , Mohamed Akrout

Both linear mixed models (LMMs) and sparse regression models are widely used in genetics applications, including, recently, polygenic modeling in genome-wide association studies. These two approaches make very different assumptions, so are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-16 Xiang Zhou , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

In recent years, pre-trained large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable efficiency in achieving an inference-time few-shot learning capability known as in-context learning. However, existing literature has highlighted the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xinyi Wang , Wanrong Zhu , Michael Saxon , Mark Steyvers , William Yang Wang

Traditional approaches in mental health research apply General Linear Models (GLM) to describe the longitudinal dynamics of observed psycho-behavioral measurements (questionnaire summary scores). Similarly, GLMs are also applied to…

The recently developed semi-parametric generalized linear model (SPGLM) offers more flexibility as compared to the classical GLM by including the baseline or reference distribution of the response as an additional parameter in the model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Entejar Alam , Peter Müller , Paul J. Rathouz

One of the most significant barriers to medication treatment is patients' non-adherence to a prescribed medication regimen. The extent of the impact of poor adherence on resulting health measures is often unknown, and typical analyses…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Luis F. Campos , Mark E. Glickman , Kristen B. Hunter

We develop a hierarchical infinite latent factor model (HIFM) to appropriately account for the covariance structure across subpopulations in data. We propose a novel Hierarchical Dirichlet Process shrinkage prior on the loadings matrix that…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-25 Elizabeth Lorenzi , Ricardo Henao , Katherine Heller

Some of the simplest, yet most frequently used predictors in statistics and machine learning use weighted linear combinations of features. Such linear predictors can model non-linear relationships between features by adding interaction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mohammadreza Nemati , Zhipeng Huang , Kevin S. Xu

The conventional historical functional linear model relates the current value of the functional response at time t to all past values of the functional covariate up to time t. Motivated by situations where it is more reasonable to assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

Image data are increasingly encountered and are of growing importance in many areas of science. Much of these data are quantitative image data, which are characterized by intensities that represent some measurement of interest in the…

Previous likelihood-based linear modeling of nutritional data has been limited by the availability of software that allows flexible error structures in the data. We demonstrate the use of a Bayesian modeling approach to the analysis of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Andrew Lawson , Daniela Nitcheva

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

Large language models (LLMs) frequently generate confident yet inaccurate responses, introducing significant risks for deployment in safety-critical domains. We present a novel, test-time approach to detecting model hallucination through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Hazel Kim , Tom A. Lamb , Adel Bibi , Philip Torr , Yarin Gal

Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems account for a substantial share of global building energy use, making reliable anomaly detection essential for improving efficiency and reducing emissions. Classical rule-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Subin Lin , Chuanbo Hua