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Decision making under uncertainty is challenging as the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs on the model's parameters. However, minimising the expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

We use a decision-theoretic framework to study the problem of forecasting discrete outcomes when the forecaster is unable to discriminate among a set of plausible forecast distributions because of partial identification or concerns about…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-18 Timothy Christensen , Hyungsik Roger Moon , Frank Schorfheide

We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems where the ambiguity set is defined using the Wasserstein metric. We show that this class of DRO problems can be reformulated as semi-infinite programs. We give an exchange method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

As the complexity of modern control systems increases, it becomes challenging to derive an accurate model of the uncertainty that affects their dynamics. Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) provides a powerful framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Riccardo Cescon , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We consider a real-world chemotherapy scheduling template design problem, where we cluster patient types into groups and find a representative time-slot duration for each group to accommodate all patient types assigned to that group, aiming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Yu-Li Huang

We study multistage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) to hedge against ambiguity in quantifying the underlying uncertainty of a problem. Recognizing that not all the realizations and scenario paths might have an "effect" on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Hamed Rahimian , Guzin Bayraksan , Tito Homem-de-Mello

Robust optimization(RO) is an important tool for handling optimization problem with uncertainty. The main objective of RO is to solve optimization problems due to uncertainty associated with constraints satisfying all realizations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Parthasarathi Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha

Offline reinforcement learning aims to learn from pre-collected datasets without active exploration. This problem faces significant challenges, including limited data availability and distributional shifts. Existing approaches adopt a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Yue Wang , Jinjun Xiong , Shaofeng Zou

Adversarially robust optimization (ARO) has emerged as the *de facto* standard for training models that hedge against adversarial attacks in the test stage. While these models are robust against adversarial attacks, they tend to suffer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Aras Selvi , Eleonora Kreacic , Mohsen Ghassemi , Vamsi Potluru , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

We consider a minimax problem motivated by distributionally robust optimization (DRO) when the worst-case distribution is continuous, leading to significant computational challenges due to the infinite-dimensional nature of the optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-31 Linglingzhi Zhu , Yao Xie

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We study a variety of Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) problems where the distributions in the ambiguity set are chosen by constraining their Wasserstein discrepancies to the empirical distribution. Using the notion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Hong T. M. Chu , Meixia Lin , Kim-Chuan Toh

We consider decision-making problems under decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU), where the distribution of uncertain parameters depends on the decision variables and is only observable through a finite offline dataset. To address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Chengrui Qu , Huiwen Jia , Pengcheng You

We study the causal distributionally robust optimization (DRO) in both discrete- and continuous- time settings. The framework captures model uncertainty, with potential models penalized in function of their adapted Wasserstein distance to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Yifan Jiang , Jan Obloj

Shape-constrained optimization arises in a wide range of problems including distributionally robust optimization (DRO) that has surging popularity in recent years. In the DRO literature, these problems are usually solved via reduction into…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu , Dashi I. Singham

In problems that involve input parameter information gathered from multiple data sources with varying reliability, incorporating decision makers' trust on different sources in optimization models can potentially improve solution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Yanru Guo , Ruiwei Jiang , Siqian Shen

In this paper, we consider learning scenarios where the learned model is evaluated under an unknown test distribution which potentially differs from the training distribution (i.e. distribution shift). The learner has access to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

In stochastic optimal control (SOC), uncertainty may arise from incomplete knowledge of the true probability distribution of the underlying environment, which is known as Knightian or epistemic uncertainty. Distributionally robust optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Wentao Ma , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu , Enlu Zhou

In performative stochastic optimization, decisions can influence the distribution of random parameters, rendering the data-generating process itself decision-dependent. In practice, decision-makers rarely have access to the true…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Zhuangzhuang Jia , Yijie Wang , Roy Dong , Grani A. Hanasusanto

We propose a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulation with a Wasserstein-based uncertainty set for selecting grouped variables under perturbations on the data for both linear regression and classification problems. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis
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