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Most methods for learning with noisy labels require privileged knowledge such as noise transition matrices, clean subsets or pretrained feature extractors, resources typically unavailable when robustness is most needed. We propose Conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yuanjie Shi , Peihong Li , Zijian Zhang , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Yan Yan

We study Empirical Risk Minimizers (ERM) and Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) for regression problems with convex and $L$-Lipschitz loss functions. We consider a setting where $|\cO|$ malicious outliers contaminate the labels.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Geoffrey Chinot

This paper proves, in very general settings, that convex risk minimization is a procedure to select a unique conditional probability model determined by the classification problem. Unlike most previous work, we give results that are general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Matus Telgarsky , Miroslav Dudík , Robert Schapire

Pairwise similarities and dissimilarities between data points might be easier to obtain than fully labeled data in real-world classification problems, e.g., in privacy-aware situations. To handle such pairwise information, an empirical risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Takuya Shimada , Han Bao , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

We consider robust empirical risk minimization (ERM), where model parameters are chosen to minimize the worst-case empirical loss when each data point varies over a given convex uncertainty set. In some simple cases, such problems can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Eric Luxenberg , Dhruv Malik , Yuanzhi Li , Aarti Singh , Stephen Boyd

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

We study prediction and estimation problems using empirical risk minimization, relative to a general convex loss function. We obtain sharp error rates even when concentration is false or is very restricted, for example, in heavy-tailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Shahar Mendelson

Weakly supervised learning has emerged as a practical alternative to fully supervised learning when complete and accurate labels are costly or infeasible to acquire. However, many existing methods are tailored to specific supervision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Miao Zhang , Junpeng Li , Changchun Hua , Yana Yang

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

This article studies the achievable guarantees on the error rates of certain learning algorithms, with particular focus on refining logarithmic factors. Many of the results are based on a general technique for obtaining bounds on the error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Steve Hanneke

The celebrated Bernstein von-Mises theorem ensures that credible regions from Bayesian posterior are well-calibrated when the model is correctly-specified, in the frequentist sense that their coverage probabilities tend to the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Learning representations of data, and in particular learning features for a subsequent prediction task, has been a fruitful area of research delivering impressive empirical results in recent years. However, relatively little is understood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Daniel McNamara , Cheng Soon Ong , Robert C. Williamson

Empirical risk minimization over classes functions that are bounded for some version of the variation norm has a long history, starting with Total Variation Denoising (Rudin et al., 1992), and has been considered by several recent articles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-26 Aurélien F. Bibaut , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

We address the issue of safety in reinforcement learning. We pose the problem in an episodic framework of a constrained Markov decision process. Existing results have shown that it is possible to achieve a reward regret of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Tao Liu , Ruida Zhou , Dileep Kalathil , P. R. Kumar , Chao Tian

This paper introduces an assumption-lean method that constructs valid and efficient lower predictive bounds (LPBs) for survival times with censored data. We build on recent work by Cand\`es et al. (2021), whose approach first subsets the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Yu Gui , Rohan Hore , Zhimei Ren , Rina Foygel Barber

Time-to-event forecasts are essential when decisions depend on event timing. This article develops a framework for evaluating such forecasts when the event has not yet occurred or is not predicted within the forecast horizon. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Robert J. Taggart , Nicholas Loveday , Simon Louis

Model-free time-to-event regression under confounding presents challenges due to biases introduced by causal and censoring sampling mechanisms. This phenomenology poses problems for classical non-parametric estimators like Beran's or the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-28 Carlos García-Meixide , Marcos Matabuena

Survival analysis is a hotspot in statistical research for modeling time-to-event information with data censorship handling, which has been widely used in many applications such as clinical research, information system and other fields with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Kan Ren , Jiarui Qin , Lei Zheng , Zhengyu Yang , Weinan Zhang , Lin Qiu , Yong Yu

We describe a general framework -- compressive statistical learning -- for resource-efficient large-scale learning: the training collection is compressed in one pass into a low-dimensional sketch (a vector of random empirical generalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Rémi Gribonval , Gilles Blanchard , Nicolas Keriven , Yann Traonmilin