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Related papers: Covariate-Powered Empirical Bayes Estimation

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When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

There has been a tremendous methodological development of Bayes factors for hypothesis testing in the social and behavioral sciences, and related fields. This development is due to the flexibility of the Bayes factor for testing multiple…

The estimation of risk measures recently gained a lot of attention, partly because of the backtesting issues of expected shortfall related to elicitability. In this work we shed a new and fundamental light on optimal estimation procedures…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-25 Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

The problem of estimating a spiked covariance matrix in high dimensions under Frobenius loss, and the parallel problem of estimating the noise in spiked PCA is investigated. We propose an estimator of the noise parameter by minimizing an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-28 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Considerable interest has recently been focused on studying multiple phenotypes simultaneously in both epidemiological and genomic studies, either to capture the multidimensionality of complex disorders or to understand shared etiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Denis Agniel , Katherine P. Liao , Tianxi Cai

Quantum phase estimation (QPE) is the key subroutine of several quantum computing algorithms as well as a central ingredient in quantum computational chemistry and quantum simulation. While QPE strategies have focused on the estimation of a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-26 Valentin Gebhart , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

Covariate balance is a conventional key diagnostic for methods used estimating causal effects from observational studies. Recently, there is an emerging interest in directly incorporating covariate balance in the estimation. We study a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Qingyuan Zhao , Daniel Percival

Understanding covariate-varying interdependencies among features is of great interest in various applications. Motivated by microbiome studies where microbial abundances and interactions vary with environmental factors, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Shuangjie Zhang , Michael L. Patnode , Juhee Lee

Bayesian optimization is a methodology for global optimization of unknown and expensive objectives. It combines a surrogate Bayesian regression model with an acquisition function to decide where to evaluate the objective. Typical regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Afonso Eduardo , Michael U. Gutmann

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

To correctly analyse data sets from current microwave detection technology, one is forced to estimate the sky signal and experimental noise simultaneously. Given a time-ordered data set we propose a formalism and method for estimating the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Pedro G. Ferreira , Andrew H. Jaffe

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

Mathematical models implemented on a computer have become the driving force behind the acceleration of the cycle of scientific processes. This is because computer models are typically much faster and economical to run than physical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Mookyong Son , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Bayesian analysis is increasingly popular for use in social science and other application areas where the data are observations from an informative sample. An informative sampling design leads to inclusion probabilities that are correlated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniell Toth