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Related papers: Optimal Stopping under Model Ambiguity: a Time-Con…

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Under non-exponential discounting, we develop a dynamic theory for stopping problems in continuous time. Our framework covers discount functions that induce decreasing impatience. Due to the inherent time inconsistency, we look for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

In this article we study an optimal stopping/optimal control problem which models the decision facing a risk-averse agent over when to sell an asset. The market is incomplete so that the asset exposure cannot be hedged. In addition to the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson

According to conventional wisdom, ambiguity accelerates optimal timing by decreasing the value of waiting in comparison with the unambiguous benchmark case. We study this mechanism in a multidimensional setting and show that in a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-15 Sören Christensen , Luis H. R. Alvarez E

This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Shuoqing Deng , Xiang Yu , Jiacheng Zhang

We propose and analyze a continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework for optimal stopping under ambiguity. In this framework, an agent chooses a robust exploratory stopping time motivated by two objectives: robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Junyan Ye , Hoi Ying Wong , Kyunghyun Park

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Sören Christensen

Aiming to analyze the impact of environmental transition on the value of assets and on asset stranding, we study optimal stopping and divestment timing decisions for an economic agent whose future revenues depend on the realization of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-27 Andrea Mazzon , Peter Tankov

We study the (weak) equilibrium problem arising from the problem of optimally stopping a one-dimensional diffusion subject to an expectation constraint on the time until stopping. The weak equilibrium problem is realized with a set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Sören Christensen , Maike Klein , Boy Schultz

We investigate the impact of Knightian uncertainty on the optimal timing policy of an ambiguity averse decision maker in the case where the underlying factor dynamics follow a multidimensional Brownian motion and the exercise payoff depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Sören Christensen

In this paper, we study a non-linear filtering problem in the presence of signal model uncertainty. The model ambiguity is characterized by a class of probability measures from which the true one is taken. After interchanging the order of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Jiaqi Zhang , Jie Xiong

For an infinite-horizon continuous-time optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, we look for an optimal equilibrium, which generates larger values than any other equilibrium does on the entire state space. When the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

In this paper, we study an optimal stopping problem in the presence of model uncertainty and regime switching. The max-min formulation for robust control and the dynamic programming approach are adopted to establish a general theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Siyu Lv , Zhen Wu , Jie Xiong , Xin Zhang

Inspired by recent work of P.-L. Lions on conditional optimal control, we introduce a problem of optimal stopping under bounded rationality: the objective is the expected payoff at the time of stopping, conditioned on another event. For…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Marcel Nutz , Yuchong Zhang

Many decision problems in economics, information technology, and industry can be transformed to an optimal stopping of adapted random vectors with some utility function over the set of Markov times with respect to filtration build by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

This paper considers dynamic moral hazard settings, in which the consequences of the agent's actions are not precisely understood. In a new continuous-time moral hazard model with drift ambiguity, the agent's unobservable action translates…

General Economics · Economics 2021-10-29 Martin Dumav

Modeling the purposeful behavior of imperfect agents from a small number of observations is a challenging task. When restricted to the single-agent decision-theoretic setting, inverse optimal control techniques assume that observed behavior…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Kevin Waugh , Brian D. Ziebart , J. Andrew Bagnell

This paper studies dynamic asset allocation with interest rate risk and several sources of ambiguity. The market consists of a risk-free asset, a zero-coupon bond (both determined by a Vasicek model), and a stock. There is ambiguity about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-30 Julian Hölzermann

We introduce a general framework for Markov decision problems under model uncertainty in a discrete-time infinite horizon setting. By providing a dynamic programming principle we obtain a local-to-global paradigm, namely solving a local,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Mario Šikić

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both volatility and drift. Corresponding extensions of some basic results in asset pricing theory are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji
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