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We extend a generalized integral fluctuation relation in diffusion processes that we obtained previously to the situation with feedback control. The general relation not only covers existing results but also predicts other unnoticed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-17 Fei Liu , Hongcheng Xie , Zhiyue Lu

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We study a counterfactual mean-variance optimization, where the mean and variance are defined as functionals of counterfactual distributions. The optimization problem defines the optimal resource allocation under various constraints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Kwangho Kim , Alan Mishler , José R. Zubizarreta

Scheduling control problems for a family of unitary networks under heavy traffic with general interarrival and service times, probabilistic routing and an infinite horizon discounted linear holding cost are studied. Diffusion control…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Amarjit Budhiraja , Arka P. Ghosh

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

A controlled branching process (CBP) is a modification of the standard Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process in which the number of progenitors in each generation is determined by a random mechanism. We consider a CBP starting from a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-26 González , M. , Martín-Chávez , P. , del Puerto , I

The covariance between real finite variance random variables can be expressed as the commutator of taking expectations and multiplying, both viewed as operators extended to act jointly on pairs of functions. The efficient influence curve of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Carlos García Meixide

The problem of approximating/tracking the value of a Wiener process is considered. The discretization points are placed at times when the value of the process differs from the approximation by some amount, here denoted by eta. It is found…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-03 Mats Brodén , Magnus Wiktorsson

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

The numerical approximation of an inverse problem subject to the convection--diffusion equation when diffusion dominates is studied. We derive Carleman estimates that are on a form suitable for use in numerical analysis and with explicit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Erik Burman , Mihai Nechita , Lauri Oksanen

For control systems that either have a fast explicit periodic dependence on time and bounded controls or have periodic solutions and small controls, we define an average control system that takes into account all possible variations of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-06-10 Alex Bombrun , Jean-Baptiste Pomet

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We consider a controlled diffusion process $(X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ where the controller is allowed to choose the drift $\mu_t$ and the volatility $\sigma_t$ from a set $\K(x) \subset \R\times (0,\infty)$ when $X_t=x$. By choosing the largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Nicole Bauerle , Erhan Bayraktar

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Existing approaches to diffusion-based inverse problem solvers frame the signal recovery task as a probabilistic sampling episode, where the solution is drawn from the desired posterior distribution. This framework suffers from several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Henry Li , Marcus Pereira

The paper deals with a problem of control of a system characterized by the fact that the influence of controls on the dynamics of certain functions of state variables (called observables) is relatively weak and the rates of change of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-12 Vladimir Gaitsgory , Sergey Rossomakhine

A truncated sequential procedure is constructed for estimating the drift coefficient at a given state point based on discrete data of ergodic diffusion process. A nonasymptotic upper bound is obtained for a pointwise absolute error risk.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 L. I. Galtchouk , S. M. Pergamenshchikov

In this paper we propose an optimal predictor of a random variable that has either an infinite mean or an infinite variance. The method consists of transforming the random variable such that the transformed variable has a finite mean and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Silvia Mayoral , Haolin Zou , Demissie Alemayehu

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato