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The ``first passage-time'' (FPT) problem is an important problem with a wide range of applications in mathematics, physics, biology and finance. Mathematically, such a problem can be reduced to estimating the probability of a (stochastic)…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Di Zhang , Roderick V. N. Melnik

We consider the non-equilibrium dynamics of disordered systems as defined by a master equation involving transition rates between configurations (detailed balance is not assumed). To compute the important dynamical time scales in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-02-15 Cecile Monthus , Thomas Garel

We study the extremal properties of a stochastic process $x_t$ defined by a Langevin equation $\dot{x}_t=\sqrt{2 D_0 V(B_t)}\,\xi_t$, where $\xi_t$ is a Gaussian white noise with zero mean, $D_0$ is a constant scale factor, and $V(B_t)$ is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-14 D. S. Grebenkov , V. Sposini , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , F. Seno

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

We investigate first-hitting location (FHL) statistics induced by drift-diffusion processes in domains with absorbing boundaries, and examine how such boundary laws give rise to intrinsic information observables. Rather than introducing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-07 Yen-Chi Lee

The thermodynamic uncertainty relation is a prominent result in stochastic thermodynamics that provides a bound on the fluctuations of any thermodynamic flux, also known as current, in terms of the average rate of entropy production. Such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-22 Taylor Wampler , Andre C Barato

We consider the problem of estimating the mean entropy production rate in a nonequilibrium process from the measurements of first-passage quantities associated with a single current. For first-passage processes with large thresholds, Refs.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-05 Izaak Neri

First exit times from regions and their dependence on variations of boundaries are discussed for diffusion processes. The paper presents an estimate of $L_1$-distance between exit times from two regions via expectations of exit times.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We show in detail some results, outlined in a previous paper regarding the case of Brownian motion (BM), about the distribution of the $n$th-passage time of a one-dimensional diffusion obtained by a space or time transformation of BM,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Mario Abundo , Maria Beatrice Scioscia Santoro

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-18 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Stefan Reimann

We consider high-order stochastic processes $x(t)$ described by the Langevin equation $\frac{{{d^m}x\left( t \right)}}{{d{t^m}}}= \sqrt{2D} \xi(t)$, where $\xi(t)$ is a delta-correlated Gaussian noise with zero mean, and $D$ is the strength…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-18 Lulu Tian , Hanshuang Chen , Guofeng Li

Recently, progress has been made in the theory of turbulence, which provides a framework on how a deterministic process changes to a stochastic one owing to the change in thermodynamic states. It is well known that, in the framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-27 Liteng Yang , Yuliang Liu , Jing Liu , Hongxuan Li , Wei Chen

We investigate the first-passage properties of bursty random walks on a finite one-dimensional interval of length L, in which unit-length steps to the left occur with probability close to one, while steps of length b to the right --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-28 D. Volovik , S. Redner

The presented explanations are provided for the one--dimensional diffusion process with constant drift by using forward Fokker--Planck technique. We are interested in the outflow probability in a finite interval, i.e. first passage time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-12 Julia Hinkel , Reinhard Mahnke

We provide an explicit rigorous derivation of a diffusion limit - a stochastic differential equation with additive noise - from a deterministic skew-product flow. This flow is assumed to exhibit time-scale separation and has the form of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-27 I. Melbourne , A. M. Stuart

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Stochastic hydrodynamics is a central tool in the study of first order phase transitions at a fundamental level. Combined with sophisticated free energy models, e.g. as developed in classical Density Functional Theory, complex processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-08 James F. Lutsko

First passage time models describe the time it takes for a random process to exit a region of interest and are widely used across various scientific fields. Fast and accurate numerical methods for computing the likelihood function in these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison

First passage in a stochastic process may be influenced by the presence of an external confining potential, as well as "stochastic resetting" in which the process is repeatedly reset back to its initial position. Here we study the interplay…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-10-06 Saeed Ahmad , Indrani Nayak , Ajay Bansal , Amitabha Nandi , Dibyendu Das
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