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This paper provides a general and abstract approach to approximate ergodic regimes of Markov and Feller processes. More precisely, we show that the recursive algorithm presented in Lamberton & Pages (2002) and based on simulation algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Gilles Pagès , Clément Rey

Finding and sampling multiple reaction channels for molecular transitions remains an important challenge in physical chemistry. Here we show that the weighted ensemble (WE) path sampling method can readily sample multiple channels. In a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-02-17 Bin W. Zhang , David Jasnow , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

It is well known that ergodic theory can be used to formally prove a weak form of relaxation to equilibrium for finite, mixing, Hamiltonian systems. In this Letter we extend this proof to any dynamics that preserves a mixing equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-18 Denis J. Evans , Stephen R. Williams , Lamberto Rondoni , Debra J. Searles

Ensemble learning is traditionally justified as a variance-reduction strategy, explaining its strong performance for unstable predictors such as decision trees. This explanation, however, does not account for ensembles constructed from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Ernest Fokoué

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

We present a new method of analysis of measure-preserving dynamical systems, based on frequency analysis and ergodic theory, which extends our earlier work [1]. Our method employs the novel concept of harmonic time average [2], and is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-29 Zoran Levnajić , Igor Mezić

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

We provide an algorithm based on weighted-ensemble (WE) methods, to accurately sample systems at steady state. Applying our method to different one- and two-dimensional models, we succeed to calculate steady state probabilities of order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Justus A. Kromer , Lutz Schimansky-Geier , Raul Toral

A new method involving particle diagrams is introduced and developed into a rigorous framework for carrying out embedded random matrix calculations. Using particle diagrams and the attendant methodology including loop counting it becomes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-01 Rupert A Small

We prove mean and pointwise ergodic theorems for general families of averages on a semisimple algebraic (or S-algebraic) group G, together with an explicit rate of convergence when the action has a spectral gap. Given any lattice in G, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Alexander Gorodnik , Amos Nevo

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

Let $T$ be an ergodic measure-preserving transformation on a non-atomic probability space $(X,\Sigma,\mu)$. We prove uniform extensions of the Wiener-Wintner theorem in two settings: For averages involving weights coming from Hardy field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Tanja Eisner , Ben Krause

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

In complex systems with many degrees of freedom such as peptides and proteins there exist a huge number of local-minimum-energy states. Conventional simulations in the canonical ensemble are of little use, because they tend to get trapped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ayori Mitsutake , Yuji Sugita , Yuko Okamoto

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

In many applications, it is often necessary to sample the mean value of certain quantity with respect to a probability measure {\mu} on the level set of a smooth function $\xi: \mathbb{R}^d\rightarrow \mathbb{R}^k$, $1\le k < d$. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Wei Zhang

In ergodic physical systems, time-averaged quantities converge (for large times) to their ensemble-averaged values. Large deviation theory describes rare events where these time averages differ significantly from the corresponding ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-20 Robert L. Jack

We prove a mean ergodic theorem for amenable discrete quantum groups. As an application, we prove a Wiener type theorem for continuous measures on compact metrizable groups.

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Huichi Huang

Ergodic exploration has spawned a lot of interest in mobile robotics due to its ability to design time trajectories that match desired spatial coverage statistics. However, current ergodic approaches are for continuous spaces, which require…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Wong , Ryan H. Lee , Tyler M. Paine , Santosh Devasia , Ashis G. Banerjee
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