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The problem of investing into a cryptocurrency market requires good understanding of the processes that regulate the price of the currency. In this paper we offer a view of a cryptocurrency market as an environment for realization of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-18 Misha Perepelitsa

Blockchain-based cryptocurrencies prioritize transactions based on their fees, creating a unique kind of fee market. Empirically, this market has failed to yield stable equilibria with predictable prices for desired levels of service. We…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Soumya Basu , David Easley , Maureen O'Hara , Emin Gün Sirer

Given a mixture between two populations of coins, "positive" coins that each have -- unknown and potentially different -- bias $\geq\frac{1}{2}+\Delta$ and "negative" coins with bias $\leq\frac{1}{2}-\Delta$, we consider the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Since its conception, the cryptocurrency market has been frequently described as an immature market, characterized by significant swings in volatility and occasionally described as lacking rhyme or reason. There has been great speculation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Nick James , Max Menzies

Cryptocurrencies (CCs) become more interesting for institutional investors' strategic asset allocation and will be a fixed component of professional portfolios in future. This asset class differs from established assets especially in terms…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-25 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Jonas Krettek , Lars M. Kürzinger , Tim Schmitz

Our study provides a survey on how existing stablecoins-- cryptocurrencies aiming at price stabilization-- peg their value to other assets, from the perspective of Decentralized Payment Systems (DPSs). This attempt is important because…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Makiko Mita , Kensuke Ito , Shohei Ohsawa , Hideyuki Tanaka

Predicting the direction of assets have been an active area of study and a difficult task. Machine learning models have been used to build robust models to model the above task. Ensemble methods is one of them showing results better than a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-25 Avinash Barnwal , Hari Pad Bharti , Aasim Ali , Vishal Singh

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

We show that the behaviour of Bitcoin has interesting similarities to stock and precious metal markets, such as gold and silver. We report that whilst Litecoin, the second largest cryptocurrency, closely follows Bitcoin's behaviour, it does…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-10 Daniel Wilson-Nunn , Hector Zenil

Organizing and managing cryptocurrency portfolios and decision-making on transactions is crucial in this market. Optimal selection of assets is one of the main challenges that requires accurate prediction of the price of cryptocurrencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

Cryptocurrencies aim to replicate physical cash in the digital realm while removing centralized and trusted intermediaries. Decentralization is achieved by the blockchain, a permanent public ledger that contains a record of every…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Domokos Miklós Kelen , István András Seres

Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

Despite the fact that cryptocurrencies themselves have experienced an astonishing rate of adoption over the last decade, cryptocurrency fraud detection is a heavily under-researched problem area. Of all fraudulent activity regarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Viswanath Chadalapaka , Kyle Chang , Gireesh Mahajan , Anuj Vasil

The goal of cryptocurrencies is decentralization. In principle, all currencies have equal status. Unlike traditional stock markets, there is no default currency of denomination (fiat), thus the trading pairs can be set freely. However, it…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Di Zhang , Youzhou Zhou

As data marketplaces become increasingly central to the digital economy, it is crucial to design efficient pricing mechanisms that optimize revenue while ensuring fair and adaptive pricing. We introduce the Maximum Auction-to-Posted Price…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Yingqi Gao , Wenlu Xu , Jin J. Zhou , Hua Zhou , Yong Chen , Xiaowu Dai

Bitcoin is considered the most valuable currency in the world. Besides being highly valuable, its value has also experienced a steep increase, from around 1 dollar in 2010 to around 18000 in 2017. Then, in recent years, it has attracted…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Amin Azari

Cryptocurrencies, arguably the most prominent application of blockchains, have been on the rise with a wide mainstream acceptance. A central concept in cryptocurrencies is "mining pools", groups of cooperating cryptocurrency miners who…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Ayodeji Adeniran , David Mohaisen

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

Contrast pattern mining (CPM) aims to discover patterns whose support increases significantly from a background dataset compared to a target dataset. CPM is particularly useful for characterising changes in evolving systems, e.g., in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Elaheh AlipourChavary , Sarah M. Erfani , Christopher Leckie
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