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Stochastic processes are random variables with values in some space of paths. However, reducing a stochastic process to a path-valued random variable ignores its filtration, i.e. the flow of information carried by the process through time.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-05 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Chong Liu , Blanka Hovarth , Theodoros Damoulas , Terry Lyons

Bayesian methods in machine learning, such as Gaussian processes, have great advantages com-pared to other techniques. In particular, they provide estimates of the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Extending the Bayesian approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-20 Zhikuan Zhao , Alejandro Pozas-Kerstjens , Patrick Rebentrost , Peter Wittek

It is desirable to combine the expressive power of deep learning with Gaussian Process (GP) in one expressive Bayesian learning model. Deep kernel learning showed success in adopting a deep network for feature extraction followed by a GP…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

We introduce a Gaussian process model of functions which are additive. An additive function is one which decomposes into a sum of low-dimensional functions, each depending on only a subset of the input variables. Additive GPs generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-20 David Duvenaud , Hannes Nickisch , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

Due to their great flexibility, nonparametric Bayes methods have proven to be a valuable tool for discovering complicated patterns in data. The term "nonparametric Bayes" suggests that these methods inherit model-free operating…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-15 Peter D. Hoff

When fitting Bayesian machine learning models on scarce data, the main challenge is to obtain suitable prior knowledge and encode it into the model. Recent advances in meta-learning offer powerful methods for extracting such prior knowledge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-17 Vincent Fortuin , Heiko Strathmann , Gunnar Rätsch

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

Kernel means are frequently used to represent probability distributions in machine learning problems. In particular, the well known kernel density estimator and the kernel mean embedding both have the form of a kernel mean. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-03 E. Cruz Cortés , C. Scott

The linear conditional expectation (LCE) provides a best linear (or rather, affine) estimate of the conditional expectation and hence plays an important r\^ole in approximate Bayesian inference, especially the Bayes linear approach. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Ilja Klebanov , Björn Sprungk , T. J. Sullivan

Bayesian optimization has become a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many problems where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. Recently, there has been proposed a large number of new applications in fields such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

We propose a framework for hypothesis testing on conditional probability distributions, which we then use to construct statistical tests of functionals of conditional distributions. These tests identify the inputs where the functionals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Pierre-François Massiani , Christian Fiedler , Lukas Haverbeck , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Variational mean field approximations tend to struggle with contemporary overparametrized deep neural networks. Where a Bayesian treatment is usually associated with high-quality predictions and uncertainties, the practical reality has been…

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

Machine Learning (ML) has widely been used for modeling and predicting physical systems. These techniques offer high expressive power and good generalizability for interpolation within observed data sets. However, the disadvantage of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Omid Sedehi , Antonina M. Kosikova , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

Gaussian processes offers a convenient way to perform nonparametric reconstructions of observational data assuming only a kernel which describes the covariance between neighbouring points in a data set. We approach the ambiguity in the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-17 Reginald Christian Bernardo , Jackson Levi Said

Data-driven control algorithms use observations of system dynamics to construct an implicit model for the purpose of control. However, in practice, data-driven techniques often require excessive sample sizes, which may be infeasible in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Cyrus Neary , Franck Djeumou , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Ufuk Topcu

Kernel-based nonparametric models have become very attractive for model-based control approaches for nonlinear systems. However, the selection of the kernel and its hyperparameters strongly influences the quality of the learned model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-13 Thomas Beckers , Somil Bansal , Claire J. Tomlin , Sandra Hirche