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We consider a high-dimensional mixture of two Gaussians in the noisy regime where even an oracle knowing the centers of the clusters misclassifies a small but finite fraction of the points. We provide a rigorous analysis of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-22 Francesca Mignacco , Florent Krzakala , Yue M. Lu , Lenka Zdeborová

In this work, we propose a mean-squared error-based risk that enables the comparison and optimization of estimators of squared calibration errors in practical settings. Improving the calibration of classifiers is crucial for enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Francis Bach

The Ridgeless minimum $\ell_2$-norm interpolator in overparametrized linear regression has attracted considerable attention in recent years in both machine learning and statistics communities. While it seems to defy conventional wisdom that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Qiyang Han , Xiaocong Xu

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

Modern algorithms for binary classification rely on an intermediate regression problem for computational tractability. In this paper, we establish a geometric distinction between classification and regression that allows risk in these two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-19 Suhas Vijaykumar , Claire Lazar Reich

This paper characterizes the conditional distribution properties of the finite sample ridge regression estimator and uses that result to evaluate total regression and generalization errors that incorporate the inaccuracies committed at the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-31 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We present a framework for the theoretical analysis of ensembles of low-complexity empirical risk minimisers trained on independent random compressions of high-dimensional data. First we introduce a general distribution-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Henry W. J. Reeve , Ata Kaban

Consider the standard Gaussian linear regression model $Y=X\theta+\epsilon$, where $Y\in R^n$ is a response vector and $ X\in R^{n*p}$ is a design matrix. Numerous work have been devoted to building efficient estimators of $\theta$ when $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Nicolas Verzelen

Gaussian process regression (GPR) or kernel ridge regression is a widely used and powerful tool for nonlinear prediction. Therefore, active learning (AL) for GPR, which actively collects data labels to achieve an accurate prediction with…

We study the task of high-dimensional entangled mean estimation in the subset-of-signals model. Specifically, given $N$ independent random points $x_1,\ldots,x_N$ in $\mathbb{R}^D$ and a parameter $\alpha \in (0, 1)$ such that each $x_i$ is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Sihan Liu , Thanasis Pittas

In this work we investigate the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression (RFRR). Our main contribution is a general deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR. Specifically, under a certain concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Leonardo Defilippis , Bruno Loureiro , Theodor Misiakiewicz

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

This paper gives a theoretical analysis of high dimensional linear discrimination of Gaussian data. We study the excess risk of linear discriminant rules. We emphasis on the poor performances of standard procedures in the case when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-19 Robin Girard

A regularized version of Mixture Models is proposed to learn a principal graph from a distribution of $D$-dimensional data points. In the particular case of manifold learning for ridge detection, we assume that the underlying manifold can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Tony Bonnaire , Aurélien Decelle , Nabila Aghanim

Missing data imputation, where a model is trained on observed data to estimate unobserved values, is a fundamental problem in machine learning. In this paper, we rigorously formulate imputation model learning as a mean-squared error risk…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Luke Shannon , Song Liu , Katarzyna Reluga

We consider a high-dimensional mean estimation problem over a binary hidden Markov model, which illuminates the interplay between memory in data, sample size, dimension, and signal strength in statistical inference. In this model, an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-13 Yihan Zhang , Nir Weinberger

We investigate high-dimensional sparse regression when both the noise and the design matrix exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Standard algorithms typically fail in this regime, as heavy-tailed covariates distort the empirical risk geometry. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Kaiyuan Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhang , Wenyang Zhang , Di Wang

Established approaches to obtain generalization bounds in data-driven optimization and machine learning mostly build on solutions from empirical risk minimization (ERM), which depend crucially on the functional complexity of the hypothesis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Yibo Zeng , Henry Lam

The notion of generalization in classical Statistical Learning is often attached to the postulate that data points are independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables. While relevant in many applications, this postulate may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Simon Foucart , Chunyang Liao , Shahin Shahrampour , Yinsong Wang
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