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Measuring the contribution of a bank or an insurance company to overall systemic risk is a key concern, particularly in the aftermath of the 2007--2009 financial crisis and the 2020 downturn. In this paper, we derive worst-case and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Jinghui Chen , Edward Furman , X. Sheldon Lin

Degree correlation is an important topological property common to many real-world networks. In this paper, the statistical measures for characterizing the degree correlation in networks are investigated analytically. We give an exact proof…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-03 Ju Xiang , Ke Hu , Tao Hu , Yan Zhang , Jian-Ming Li

We consider the problem of risk diversification in complex networks. Nodes represent e.g. financial actors, whereas weighted links represent e.g. financial obligations (credits/debts). Each node has a risk to fail because of losses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 Rebekka Burkholz , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

Whenever possible, the efficacy of a new treatment, such as a drug or behavioral intervention, is investigated by randomly assigning some individuals to a treatment condition and others to a control condition, and comparing the outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-04 Patrick C. Staples , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-21 Fariba Karimi , Matthias Raddant

The goal of this paper is to study organized flocking behavior and systemic risk in heterogeneous mean-field interacting diffusions. We illustrate in a number of case studies the effect of heterogeneity in the behavior of systemic risk in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-12 Fei Fang , Yiwei Sun , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Counterparty risk denotes the risk that a party defaults in a bilateral contract. This risk not only depends on the two parties involved, but also on the risk from various other contracts each of these parties holds. In rather informal…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-16 Vahan Nanumyan , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

This study presents a generalization for a method examining the correlation function of an arbitrary system with interactions in an Ising model to obtain a value of correlation between two arbitrary points on a network. The establishment of…

General Physics · Physics 2017-06-13 Akira Saito

This paper investigates the case of interference, when a unit's treatment also affects other units' outcome. When interference is at work, policy evaluation mostly relies on the use of randomized experiments under cluster interference and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Laura Forastiere , Davide Del Prete , Valerio Leone Sciabolazza

A/B testing is a standard approach for evaluating the effect of online experiments; the goal is to estimate the `average treatment effect' of a new feature or condition by exposing a sample of the overall population to it. A drawback with…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-05-31 Johan Ugander , Brian Karrer , Lars Backstrom , Jon Kleinberg

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

The recent high level of interest in weighted complex networks gives rise to a need to develop new measures and to generalize existing ones to take the weights of links into account. Here we focus on various generalizations of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 J. Saramaki , M. Kivela , J. -P. Onnela , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz

In recent years, community structure has emerged as a key component of complex network analysis. As more data has been collected, researchers have begun investigating changing community structure across multiple networks. Several methods…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-08-03 Matthew Steen , Satoru Hayasaka , Karen Joyce , Paul Laurienti

Risk aggregation is a popular method used to estimate the sum of a collection of financial assets or events, where each asset or event is modelled as a random variable. Applications, in the financial services industry, include insurance,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-04 Peng Lin

The role of Network Theory in the study of the financial crisis has been widely spotted in the latest years. It has been shown how the network topology and the dynamics running on top of it can trigger the outbreak of large systemic crisis.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Andrea Flori , Giuseppe Pappalardo , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Fabio Pammolli

The network effect, wherein one user's activity impacts another user, is common in social network platforms. Many new features in social networks are specifically designed to create a network effect, enhancing user engagement. For instance,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Wentao Su , Weitao Duan

We study the system of heterogeneous interbank lending and borrowing based on the relative average of log-capitalization given by the linear combination of the average within groups and the ensemble average and describe the evolution of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Li-Hsien Sun

Because of the non-uniformity of the electric power CPS network and the dynamic nature of the risk propagation process, it is difficult to quantify the critical point of a cyber risk explosion. From the perspective of the dependency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-13 Zhaoyang Qu , Yu Zhang , Nan Qu , Lei Wang , Yang Li , Yunchang Dong

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi
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