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With the growing availability of multi-domain time series data, there is an increasing demand for general forecasting models pre-trained on multi-source datasets to support diverse downstream prediction scenarios. Existing time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Although demand forecasting is a critical component of supply chain planning, actual retail data can exhibit irreconcilable seasonality, irregular spikes, and noise, rendering precise projections nearly unattainable. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Khai Banh Nghiep , Duc Nguyen Minh , Lan Hoang Thi

With the growing number of forecasting techniques and the increasing significance of forecast-based operation - particularly in the rapidly evolving energy sector - selecting the most effective forecasting model has become a critical task.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Fabian Backhaus , Karoline Brucke , Peter Ruckdeschel , Sunke Schlüters

E-commerce search and recommendation usually operate on structured data such as product catalogs and taxonomies. However, creating better search and recommendation systems often requires a large variety of unstructured data including…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Haixun Wang , Taesik Na

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Time series forecasting is essential for agents to make decisions. Traditional approaches rely on statistical methods to forecast given past numeric values. In practice, end-users often rely on visualizations such as charts and plots to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Srijan Sood , Zhen Zeng , Naftali Cohen , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

The contribution of this work is twofold: (1) We introduce a collection of ensemble methods for time series forecasting to combine predictions from base models. We demonstrate insights on the power of ensemble learning for forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Julia Gastinger , Sébastien Nicolas , Dušica Stepić , Mischa Schmidt , Anett Schülke

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Often machine learning methods are applied and results reported in cases where there is little to no information concerning accuracy of the output. Simply because a computer program returns a result does not insure its validity. If…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jerome H. Friedman

This article intends to systematically identify and comparatively analyze state-of-the-art supply chain (SC) forecasting strategies and technologies. A novel framework has been proposed incorporating Big Data Analytics in SC Management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Md Sakib Hossain Shovon , Jungpil Shin , Istiyaque Ahmed Ridoy , M. F. Mridha

While the space of renewable energy forecasting has received significant attention in the last decade, literature has primarily focused on machine learning models that train on only one objective at a time. A host of classification (and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Aswin Kannan

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Seamless forecasts are based on a combination of different sources to produce the best possible forecasts. Statistical multimodel postprocessing helps to combine various sources to achieve these seamless forecasts. However, when one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Markus Dabernig , Aitor Atencia

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Predicting the price of used vehicles is a more interesting and needed problem by many users. Vehicle price prediction can be a challenging task due to the high number of attributes that should be considered for accurate prediction. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Auwal Tijjani Amshi

Recommendation systems are essential tools in modern e-commerce, facilitating personalized user experiences by suggesting relevant products. Recent advancements in generative models have demonstrated potential in enhancing recommendation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Zida Liang , Changfa Wu , Dunxian Huang , Weiqiang Sun , Ziyang Wang , Yuliang Yan , Jian Wu , Yuning Jiang , Bo Zheng , Ke Chen , Silu Zhou , Yu Zhang

A growing trend for information technology is to not just react to changes, but anticipate them as much as possible. This paradigm made modern solutions, such as recommendation systems, a ubiquitous presence in today's digital transactions.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Nicola Bui , Matteo Cesana , S. Amir Hosseini , Qi Liao , Ilaria Malanchini , Joerg Widmer