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This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. In Part I, we begin by identifying a class of social processes which are simultaneously important in applications and difficult to predict using…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

In this work, we propose a non-parametric and robust change detection algorithm to detect multiple change points in time series data under contamination. The contamination model is sufficiently general, in that, the most common model used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Sujay Bhatt , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li

This article develops Probabilistic Hybrid Action Models (PHAMs), a realistic causal model for predicting the behavior generated by modern percept-driven robot plans. PHAMs represent aspects of robot behavior that cannot be represented by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-29 M. Beetz , H. Grosskreutz

Air pollution is a major risk factor for global health, with both ambient and household air pollution contributing substantial components of the overall global disease burden. One of the key drivers of adverse health effects is fine…

Atmospheric modeling has recently experienced a surge with the advent of deep learning. Most of these models, however, predict concentrations of pollutants following a data-driven approach in which the physical laws that govern their…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-08 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Carlos Ortiz Marrero , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

An algorithm for the estimation of multiple targets from partial and corrupted observations is introduced based on the concept of partially-distinguishable multi-target system. It combines the advantages of engineering solutions like MHT…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 J. Houssineau , D. E. Clark

A hybrid data assimilation algorithm is developed for complex dynamical systems with partial observations. The method starts with applying a spectral decomposition to the entire spatiotemporal fields, followed by creating a machine learning…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-27 Changhong Mou , Leslie M. Smith , Nan Chen

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in using spectral methods for estimating latent variable models. However, it is usually assumed that the distribution of the observations conditioned on the latent variables is either discrete or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-22 Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Maruan Al-Shedivat , Eric P. Xing

Exposure assessment is fundamental to air pollution cohort studies. The objective is to predict air pollution exposures for study subjects at locations without data in order to optimize our ability to learn about health effects of air…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-05 Si Cheng , Magali N. Blanco , Lianne Sheppard , Ali Shojaie , Adam Szpiro

The health impact of long-term exposure to air pollution is now routinely estimated using spatial ecological studies, due to the recent widespread availability of spatial referenced pollution and disease data. However, this areal unit study…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-16 Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 Tong Wang , Qihang Lin

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Timur Bikmukhametov , Johannes Jäschke

We propose a robust multi-fidelity Gaussian process for integrating sparse, high-quality reference monitors with dense but noisy citizen-science sensors. The approach replaces the Gaussian log-likelihood in the high-fidelity channel with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Camilla Andreozzi , Pietro Colombo , Philipp Otto

Cost-effective sensors are capable of real-time capturing a variety of air quality-related modalities from different pollutant concentrations to indoor/outdoor humidity and temperature. Machine learning (ML) models are capable of performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Ahmad Mohammadshirazi , Aida Nadafian , Amin Karimi Monsefi , Mohammad H. Rafiei , Rajiv Ramnath

Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Michael T. Smith , Joel Ssematimba , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Engineer Bainomugisha

Constructing high resolution air pollution maps at lower cost is crucial for sustainable city management and public health risk assessment. However, traditional fixed-site monitoring lacks spatial coverage, while mobile low-cost sensors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Rui Xu , Dawen Yao , Yuzhuang Pian , Ruhui Cao , Yixin Fu , Xinru Yang , Ting Gan , Yonghong Liu

Accurate and interpretable air pollution forecasting is crucial for public health, but most models face a trade-off between performance and interpretability. This study proposes a physics-guided, interpretable-by-design spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Zhiguo Zhang , Xiaoliang Ma , Daniel Schlesinger

Air pollution is a serious issue that currently affects many industrial cities in the world and can cause severe illness to the population. In particular, it has been proven that extreme high levels of airborne contaminants have dangerous…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-12 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado
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