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We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

We propose the first general PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for adversarial robustness, that estimate, at test time, how much a model will be invariant to imperceptible perturbations in the input. Instead of deriving a worst-case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Paul Viallard , Guillaume Vidot , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

We derive PAC-Bayesian learning guarantees for heavy-tailed losses, and obtain a novel optimal Gibbs posterior which enjoys finite-sample excess risk bounds at logarithmic confidence. Our core technique itself makes use of PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-19 Matthew J. Holland

We study the self-normalized concentration of vector-valued stochastic processes. We focus on bounds for "sub-$\psi$" processes, a well-known and quite general class of process that encompasses a wide variety of well-known tail conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

Algorithm-dependent generalization error bounds are central to statistical learning theory. A learning algorithm may use a large hypothesis space, but the limited number of iterations controls its model capacity and generalization error.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Wenlong Mou , Liwei Wang , Xiyu Zhai , Kai Zheng

Modern machine learning usually involves predictors in the overparameterised setting (number of trained parameters greater than dataset size), and their training yields not only good performance on training data, but also good…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Maxime Haddouche , Paul Viallard , Umut Simsekli , Benjamin Guedj

In this paper, we establish novel data-dependent upper bounds on the generalization error through the lens of a "variable-size compressibility" framework that we introduce newly here. In this framework, the generalization error of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-12 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi

Standard Bayesian learning is known to have suboptimal generalization capabilities under misspecification and in the presence of outliers. PAC-Bayes theory demonstrates that the free energy criterion minimized by Bayesian learning is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Marios Kountouris , David Gesbert

The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Daniel M. Roy

Nonparametric estimation using uniform-width binning is a standard approach for evaluating the calibration performance of machine learning models. However, existing theoretical analyses of the bias induced by binning are limited to binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Masahiro Fujisawa , Futoshi Futami

While PAC-Bayes is now an established learning framework for light-tailed losses (\emph{e.g.}, subgaussian or subexponential), its extension to the case of heavy-tailed losses remains largely uncharted and has attracted a growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

The generalization error of a learning algorithm refers to the discrepancy between the loss of a learning algorithm on training data and that on unseen testing data. Various information-theoretic bounds on the generalization error have been…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

In this paper, we study the learning rate of generalized Bayes estimators in a general setting where the hypothesis class can be uncountable and have an irregular shape, the loss function can have heavy tails, and the optimal hypothesis may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Lam Si Tung Ho , Binh T. Nguyen , Vu Dinh , Duy Nguyen

We propose an extensive analysis of the behavior of majority votes in binary classification. In particular, we introduce a risk bound for majority votes, called the C-bound, that takes into account the average quality of the voters and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-30 Pascal Germain , Alexandre Lacasse , François Laviolette , Mario Marchand , Jean-Francis Roy

The sharpest known high probability generalization bounds for uniformly stable algorithms (Feldman, Vondr\'{a}k, 2018, 2019), (Bousquet, Klochkov, Zhivotovskiy, 2020) contain a generally inevitable sampling error term of order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Yegor Klochkov , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

This paper presents a general methodology for deriving information-theoretic generalization bounds for learning algorithms. The main technical tool is a probabilistic decorrelation lemma based on a change of measure and a relaxation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

Modern neural networks are highly overparameterized, with capacity to substantially overfit to training data. Nevertheless, these networks often generalize well in practice. It has also been observed that trained networks can often be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Wenda Zhou , Victor Veitch , Morgane Austern , Ryan P. Adams , Peter Orbanz

The ultimate performance of machine learning algorithms for classification tasks is usually measured in terms of the empirical error probability (or accuracy) based on a testing dataset. Whereas, these algorithms are optimized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Matias Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida

We consider a PAC-Bayes type learning rule for binary classification, balancing the training error of a randomized ''posterior'' predictor with its KL divergence to a pre-specified ''prior''. This can be seen as an extension of a modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

Off-policy learning (OPL) often involves minimizing a risk estimator based on importance weighting to correct bias from the logging policy used to collect data. However, this method can produce an estimator with a high variance. A common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Imad Aouali , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , David Rohde , Anna Korba
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