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We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

The Bayesian paradigm is becoming an increasingly popular framework for estimation and uncertainty quantification of unknown parameters in geo-physical inversion problems. Badlands is a basin and landscape evolution forward model for…

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

In this paper we consider a network of spatially distributed sensors which collect measurement samples of a spatial field, and aim at estimating in a distributed way (without any central coordinator) the entire field by suitably fusing all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Francesco Sasso , Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Finite mixtures of matrix normal distributions are a powerful tool for classifying three-way data in unsupervised problems. The distribution of each component is assumed to be a matrix variate normal density. The mixture model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-07 Cinzia Viroli

We recapitulate the Bayesian formulation of neural network based classifiers and show that, while sampling from the posterior does indeed lead to better generalisation than is obtained by standard optimisation of the cost function, even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-09 Robert J. N. Baldock , Nicola Marzari

Global optimization heuristics are popular to optimize hard non-convex problems. Despite their irrefutably large cost-to-solution, in the lack of other working greedy or convex approaches, global optimization algorithms remain the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Kayo Gonçalves-e-Silva , Samuel Xavier-de-Souza

In this paper, we consider the problem of automatic modulation classification with multiple sensors in the presence of unknown time offset, phase offset and received signal amplitude. We develop a novel hybrid maximum likelihood (HML)…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-02-05 O. Ozdemir , T. Wimalajeewa , B. Dulek , P. K. Varshney , W. Su

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

We develop a framework for warm-starting Bayesian optimization, that reduces the solution time required to solve an optimization problem that is one in a sequence of related problems. This is useful when optimizing the output of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-12 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

We discuss multi-dimensional generalizations of multicanonical algorithm, simulated tempering, and replica-exchange method. We generalize the original potential energy function $E_0$ by adding any physical quantity $V$ of interest as a new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-08 Ayori Mitsutake , Yuko Okamoto

Due to the need for robust uncertainty quantification, Bayesian neural learning has gained attention in the era of deep learning and big data. Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods typically implement Bayesian inference which faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Arpit Kapoor , Ashray Aman

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

We apply a recently developed adaptive algorithm that systematically improves the efficiency of parallel tempering or replica exchange methods in the numerical simulation of small proteins. Feedback iterations allow us to identify an…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Simon Trebst , Matthias Troyer , Ulrich H. E. Hansmann

Gibbs sampling is a workhorse for Bayesian inference but has several limitations when used for parameter estimation, and is often much slower than non-sampling inference methods. SAME (State Augmentation for Marginal Estimation)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-19 Huasha Zhao , Biye Jiang , John Canny

We propose and use a novel, hybrid Monte Carlo algorithm that combines configurational bias particle swaps with parallel tempering. We use this new method to simulate a standard model of a glass forming binary mixture above and below the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Elijah Flenner , Grzegorz Szamel

We consider the estimation of Dirichlet Process Mixture Models (DPMMs) in distributed environments, where data are distributed across multiple computing nodes. A key advantage of Bayesian nonparametric models such as DPMMs is that they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Ruohui Wang , Dahua Lin

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

Although overparameterized models have shown their success on many machine learning tasks, the accuracy could drop on the testing distribution that is different from the training one. This accuracy drop still limits applying machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yiping Lu , Wenlong Ji , Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying

Simulated tempering (ST) is an established Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from a multimodal density $\pi(\theta)$. Typically, ST involves introducing an auxiliary variable $k$ taking values in a finite subset of $[0,1]$…

Computation · Statistics 2008-11-03 Robert B. Gramacy , Richard J. Samworth , Ruth King