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We investigate the theoretical foundations of the simulated tempering method and use our findings to design efficient algorithms. Employing a large deviation argument first used for replica exchange molecular dynamics [Plattner et al., J.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-02-08 Anton Martinsson , Jianfeng Lu , Benedict Leimkuhler , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We report a novel Monte Carlo scheme that greatly enhances the power of parallel-tempering simulations. In this method, we boost the accumulation of statistical averages by including information about all potential parallel tempering trial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ivan Coluzza Daan Frenkel

Parallel tempering Monte Carlo simulations have been applied to a variety of systems presenting rugged free-energy landscapes. Despite this, its efficiency depends strongly on the temperature set. With this query in mind, we present a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-20 Carlos E. Fiore

A variant of the parallel tempering method is proposed in terms of a stochastic switching process for the coupled dynamics of replica configuration and temperature permutation. This formulation is shown to facilitate the analysis of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-12-20 Jianfeng Lu , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

Simulated tempering is popular method of allowing MCMC algorithms to move between modes of a multimodal target density {\pi}. One problem with simulated tempering for multimodal targets is that the weights of the various modes change for…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-12 Nicholas G. Tawn , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Temperature scaling is a simple method that allows to control the uncertainty of probabilistic models. It is mostly used in two contexts: improving the calibration of classifiers and tuning the stochasticity of large language models (LLMs).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Bruno Loureiro

The study of animal behavioural states inferred through hidden Markov models and similar state switching models has seen a significant increase in popularity in recent years. The ability to account for varying levels of behavioural scale…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-06 Giada Sacchi , Ben Swallow

Generation of equilibrium configurations is the major obstacle for numerical investigation of the slow dynamics in supercooled liquid states. The parallel tempering (PT) technique, originally proposed for the numerical equilibration of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Cristiano De Michele , Francesco Sciortino

This paper presents parallel-in-time state estimation methods for systems with Slow-Rate inTegrated Measurements (SRTM). Integrated measurements are common in various applications, and they appear in analysis of data resulting from…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-02 Fatemeh Yaghoobi , Simo Särkkä

Parameterized artificial neural networks (ANNs) can be very expressive ansatzes for variational algorithms, reaching state-of-the-art energies on many quantum many-body Hamiltonians. Nevertheless, the training of the ANN can be slow and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-04 Conor Smith , Quinn T. Campbell , Tameem Albash

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

The method of tempered transitions was proposed by Neal (1996) for tackling the difficulties arising when using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from multimodal distributions. In common with methods such as simulated tempering and…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-11 Gundula Behrens , Nial Friel , Merrilee Hurn

We propose a novel adaptive importance sampling scheme for Bayesian inversion problems where the inference of the variables of interest and the power of the data noise is split. More specifically, we consider a Bayesian analysis for the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 L. Martino , F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , J. Miguez

In this paper we present extensions to the original adaptive parallel tempering algorithm. Two different approaches are presented. In the first one we introduce state-dependent strategies using current information to perform a swap step. It…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-25 Mateusz Krzysztof Łącki , Błażej Miasojedow

Sampling from complex target distributions is a challenging task fundamental to Bayesian inference. Parallel tempering (PT) addresses this problem by constructing a Markov chain on the expanded state space of a sequence of distributions…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-18 Nikola Surjanovic , Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

Inference of latent feature models in the Bayesian nonparametric setting is generally difficult, especially in high dimensional settings, because it usually requires proposing features from some prior distribution. In special cases, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Michael Minyi Zhang , Sinead A. Williamson , Fernando Perez-Cruz

We propose a new sampling method, the thermostat-assisted continuously-tempered Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, for Bayesian learning on large datasets and multimodal distributions. It simulates the Nos\'e-Hoover dynamics of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Rui Luo , Jianhong Wang , Yaodong Yang , Zhanxing Zhu , Jun Wang

Simulated tempering is a widely used strategy for sampling from multimodal distributions. In this paper, we consider simulated tempering combined with an arbitrary local Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler and present a new decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Jhanvi Garg , Krishna Balasubramanian , Quan Zhou

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin