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Related papers: Efficient Covariance Estimation from Temporal Data

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Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Multivariate Time-Series (MTS) clustering is crucial for signal processing and data analysis. Although deep learning approaches, particularly those leveraging Contrastive Learning (CL), are prominent for MTS representation, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zexi Tan , Tao Xie , Haoyi Xiao , Baoyao Yang , Yuzhu Ji , An Zeng , Xiang Zhang , Yiqun Zhang

Repeated measurements are common in many fields, where random variables are observed repeatedly across different subjects. Such data have an underlying hierarchical structure, and it is of interest to learn covariance/correlation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Sunpeng Duan , Guo Yu , Juntao Duan , Yuedong Wang

Modeling the time-varying covariance structures of high-dimensional variables is critical across diverse scientific and industrial applications; however, existing approaches exhibit notable limitations in either modeling flexibility or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Temporal causal representation learning is a powerful tool for uncovering complex patterns in observational studies, which are often represented as low-dimensional time series. However, in many real-world applications, data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jianhong Chen , Meng Zhao , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Xubo Yue

This paper considers the problem of robustly estimating a structured covariance matrix with an elliptical underlying distribution with known mean. In applications where the covariance matrix naturally possesses a certain structure, taking…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-29 Ying Sun , Prabhu Babu , Daniel P. Palomar

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In the realm of time series analysis, tackling the phenomenon of concept drift poses a significant challenge. Concept drift -- characterized by the evolving statistical properties of time series data, affects the reliability and accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Kunpeng Xu , Lifei Chen , Shengrui Wang

We propose a novel approach to estimate the Cox model with temporal covariates. Our new approach treats the temporal covariates as arising from a longitudinal process which is modeled jointly with the event time. Different from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-05 Xiaoqi Zhang , Xiaobing Zhao , Yanqiao Zheng

We propose a flexible yet interpretable model for high-dimensional data with time-varying second order statistics, motivated and applied to functional neuroimaging data. Motivated by the neuroscience literature, we factorize the covariances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Yue Wu , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

The Cox model is an indispensable tool for time-to-event analysis, particularly in biomedical research. However, medicine is undergoing a profound transformation, generating data at an unprecedented scale, which opens new frontiers to study…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Alexander W. Jung , Moritz Gerstung

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

Estimating a covariance matrix is central to high-dimensional data analysis. Empirical analyses of high-dimensional biomedical data, including genomics, proteomics, microbiome, and neuroimaging, among others, consistently reveal strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-05 Yifan Yang , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

This article presents an overview of a theory for performing temporal smoothing on temporal signals in such a way that: (i) temporally smoothed signals at coarser temporal scales are guaranteed to constitute simplifications of corresponding…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-26 Tony Lindeberg

Traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatio-temporal correlations among traffic series. In this paper, we identify an underexplored problem in multivariate traffic series prediction: extreme events. Road congestion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Zhiwei Zhang , Weizhong Zhang , Yaowei Huang , Kani Chen

We consider estimation of high-dimensional long-run covariance matrices for time series with nonconstant means, a setting in which conventional estimators can be severely biased. To address this difficulty, we propose a difference-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Yanhong Liu , Fengyi Song , Long Feng

Statistical inference and information processing of high-dimensional data often require efficient and accurate estimation of their second-order statistics. With rapidly changing data, limited processing power and storage at the acquisition…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-23 Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi , Andrea Goldsmith

Querying cohesive subgraphs on temporal graphs (e.g., social network, finance network, etc.) with various conditions has attracted intensive research interests recently. In this paper, we study a novel Temporal $(k,\mathcal{X})$-Core Query…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Ming Zhong , Junyong Yang , Yuanyuan Zhu , Tieyun Qian , Mengchi Liu , Jeffrey Xu Yu