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Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Expectation Maximization (EM) is the standard method to learn Gaussian mixtures. Yet its classic, centralized form is often infeasible, due to privacy concerns and computational and communication bottlenecks. Prior work dealt with data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Pedro Valdeira , Cláudia Soares , João Xavier

Recent works have revealed that infinitely-wide feed-forward or recurrent neural networks of any architecture correspond to Gaussian processes referred to as Neural Network Gaussian Processes (NNGPs). While these works have extended the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Hyungi Lee , Eunggu Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

Mixture of experts (MoE) are a popular class of statistical and machine learning models that have gained attention over the years due to their flexibility and efficiency. In this work, we consider Gaussian-gated localized MoE (GLoME) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 TrungTin Nguyen , Hien Duy Nguyen , Faicel Chamroukhi , Florence Forbes

This paper deals with Bayesian inference of a mixture of Gaussian distributions. A novel formulation of the mixture model is introduced, which includes the prior constraint that each Gaussian component is always assigned a minimal number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-21 Colin J. Stoneking

Conventional survival analysis methods are typically ineffective to characterize heterogeneity in the population while such information can be used to assist predictive modeling. In this study, we propose a hybrid survival analysis method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Bojian Hou , Hongming Li , Zhicheng Jiao , Zhen Zhou , Hao Zheng , Yong Fan

A problem of incorporating the expert rules into machine learning models for extending the concept-based learning is formulated in the paper. It is proposed how to combine logical rules and neural networks predicting the concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

We propose a multiresolution Gaussian process to capture long-range, non-Markovian dependencies while allowing for abrupt changes. The multiresolution GP hierarchically couples a collection of smooth GPs, each defined over an element of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-06 Emily B. Fox , David B. Dunson

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a widely used class of models of interest to statisticians as they provide a flexible way to design interpretable models of data beyond linear models. We here propose a scalable and well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Vincent Adam , Nicolas Durrande , ST John

The Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture enables a significant increase in the total number of model parameters with minimal computational overhead. However, it is not clear what performance tradeoffs, if any, exist between MoEs and…

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a popular and sample-efficient approach for many engineering applications, where observations are expensive to acquire, and is also a central ingredient of Bayesian optimization (BO), a highly prevailing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Sébastien Da Veiga

Computer experiments with both quantitative and qualitative (QQ) inputs are commonly used in science and engineering applications. Constructing desirable emulators for such computer experiments remains a challenging problem. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Qian Xiao , Abhyuday Mandal , C. Devon Lin , Xinwei Deng

Gaussian Process (GP) models are often used as mathematical approximations of computationally expensive experiments. Provided that its kernel is suitably chosen and that enough data is available to obtain a reasonable fit of the simulator,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-22 Nicolas Durrande , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

Finite mixture models have become a popular tool for clustering. Amongst other uses, they have been applied for clustering longitudinal data and clustering high-dimensional data. In the latter case, a latent Gaussian mixture model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Vanessa S. E. Bierling , Paul D. McNicholas

Multi-agent mapping is a fundamentally important capability for autonomous robot task coordination and execution in complex environments. While successful algorithms have been proposed for mapping using individual platforms, cooperative…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-14 James Di , Ehsan Zobeidi , Alec Koppel , Nikolay Atanasov

Dimensionality reduction on Riemannian manifolds is challenging due to the complex nonlinear data structures. While probabilistic principal geodesic analysis~(PPGA) has been proposed to generalize conventional principal component analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Youshan Zhang , Jiarui Xing , Miaomiao Zhang
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