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The general philosophy for bootstrap or permutation methods for testing hypotheses is to simulate the variation of the test statistic by generating the sampling distribution which assumes both that the null hypothesis is true, and that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-18 Anna Varvak

In the last decade, simplified vine copula models have been an active area of research. They build a high dimensional probability density from the product of marginals densities and bivariate copula densities. Besides parametric models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Thomas Nagler , Christian Schellhase , Claudia Czado

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

The validity of various bootstrapping methods has been proved for the sample mean of strongly mixing data. But in many applications, there appear nonlinear statistics of processes that are not strongly mixing. We investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-28 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

We propose a nonparametric bootstrap procedure for two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. In this design, a weighted likelihood estimator is known to have smaller asymptotic variance than under the convenient assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Takumi Saegusa

Copula modelling has in the past decade become a standard tool in many areas of applied statistics. However, a largely neglected aspect concerns the design of related experiments. Particularly the issue of whether the estimation of copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-12 Elisa Perrone , Werner G. Müller

Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-12 D. Gunawan , M. -N. Tran , K. Suzuki , J. Dick , R. Kohn

The latent class model is a powerful unsupervised clustering algorithm for categorical data. Many statistics exist to test the fit of the latent class model. However, traditional methods to evaluate those fit statistics are not always…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Joris Mulder , Jeroen K. Vermunt

The bootstrap procedure has emerged as a general framework to construct prediction intervals for future observations in autoregressive time series models. Such models with outlying data points are standard in real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We introduce a new method for estimating the parameter of the bivariate Clayton copulas within the framework of Algorithmic Inference. The method consists of a variant of the standard boot-strapping procedure for inferring random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Bruno Apolloni

An important feature of Bayesian statistics is the opportunity to do sequential inference: the posterior distribution obtained after seeing a dataset can be used as prior for a second inference. However, when Monte Carlo sampling methods…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-24 Bram Thijssen , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels

The paper considers the problem of establishing data support for the simplifying assumption (SA) in a bivariate conditional copula model. It is known that SA greatly simplifies the inference for a conditional copula model, but standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Evgeny Levi , Radu V Craiu

We propose a new highly flexible and tractable Bayesian approach to undertake variable selection in non-Gaussian regression models. It uses a copula decomposition for the joint distribution of observations on the dependent variable. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith

Accurate uncertainty measurement is a key step to building robust and reliable machine learning systems. Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification algorithm popular for its ease of implementation, statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Sophia Sun , Rose Yu

Sub-sampling is a common and often effective method to deal with the computational challenges of large datasets. However, for most statistical models, there is no well-motivated approach for drawing a non-uniform subsample. We show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-07 Daniel Ting , Eric Brochu

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Practical inference procedures for quantile regression models of panel data have been a pervasive concern in empirical work, and can be especially challenging when the panel is observed over many time periods and temporal dependence needs…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Antonio F. Galvao , Carlos Lamarche , Thomas Parker

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Considering multivariate strongly mixing time series, nonparametric tests for a constant copula with specified or unspecified change point (candidate) are derived; the tests are consistent against general alternatives. A tapered block…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Axel Bücher , Martin Ruppert
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