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Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We study the problem of identifying the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to samples generated by a similar (but not identical) system, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted least squares approach and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Lei Xin , Lintao Ye , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

A machine learning technique is proposed for quantifying uncertainty in power system dynamics with spatiotemporally correlated stochastic forcing. We learn one-dimensional linear partial differential equations for the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tyler E. Maltba , Vishwas Rao , Daniel Adrian Maldonado

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

A methodology is developed to learn a feedback linearization (i.e., nonlinear change of coordinates and input transformation) using a data-driven approach for a single input control-affine nonlinear system with unknown dynamics. We employ…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-23 Raktim Gautam Goswami , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

While linear systems have been useful in solving problems across different fields, the need for improved performance and efficiency has prompted them to operate in nonlinear modes. As a result, nonlinear models are now essential for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Abdolvahhab Rostamijavanani , Shanwu Li , Yongchao Yang

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

Modeling nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamical systems has primarily relied on partial differential equations (PDEs). However, the explicit formulation of PDEs for many underexplored processes, such as climate systems, biochemical reaction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Chengping Rao , Hao Sun , Yang Liu

Modeling an unknown dynamical system is crucial in order to predict the future behavior of the system. A standard approach is training recurrent models on measurement data. While these models typically provide exact short-term predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Barbara Rakitsch , Michael Tiemann , Sebastian Trimpe

The problem of reconstructing nonlinear and complex dynamical systems from measured data or time series is central to many scientific disciplines including physical, biological, computer, and social sciences, as well as engineering and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-01 Wenxu Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Celso Grebogi

While linear systems are well-understood, no explicit solution for general nonlinear systems exists. A classical approach to make the understanding of linear system available in the nonlinear setting is to represent a nonlinear system by a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Thomas Breunung , Florian Kogelbauer

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

Model-based Bayesian reinforcement learning has generated significant interest in the AI community as it provides an elegant solution to the optimal exploration-exploitation tradeoff in classical reinforcement learning. Unfortunately, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Stephane Ross , Joelle Pineau

In this paper, we present a Bayesian view on model-based reinforcement learning. We use expert knowledge to impose structure on the transition model and present an efficient learning scheme based on variational inference. This scheme is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

Learning or identifying dynamics from a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a difficult challenge in many domains, including reinforcement learning and control. The problem has recently been studied from a generative perspective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Oliver Limoyo , Bryan Chan , Filip Marić , Brandon Wagstaff , Rupam Mahmood , Jonathan Kelly

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

We present an algorithm for model-based reinforcement learning that combines Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with random roll-outs and stochastic optimization for policy learning. The BNNs are trained by minimizing $\alpha$-divergences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Recently there has been substantial interest in spectral methods for learning dynamical systems. These methods are popular since they often offer a good tradeoff between computational and statistical efficiency. Unfortunately, they can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-05 Ahmed Hefny , Carlton Downey , Geoffrey Gordon

The engineering design process often relies on mathematical modeling that can describe the underlying dynamic behavior. In this work, we present a data-driven methodology for modeling the dynamics of nonlinear systems. To simplify this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Dynamical systems with quadratic or polynomial drift exhibit complex dynamics, yet compared to nonlinear systems in general form, are often easier to analyze, simulate, control, and learn. Results going back over a century have shown that…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Boris Kramer , Gleb Pogudin