Related papers: Analytical Solution for Stochastic Unit Commitment…
This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are…
We propose a stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework that ensures closed-loop chance constraint satisfaction for linear systems with general sub-Gaussian process and measurement noise. By considering sub-Gaussian noise, we can…
Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…
The N-1-1 contingency criterion considers the con- secutive loss of two components in a power system, with intervening time for system adjustments. In this paper, we consider the problem of optimizing generation unit commitment (UC) while…
Contextual optimization enhances decision quality by leveraging side information to improve predictions of uncertain parameters. However, existing approaches face significant challenges when dealing with multimodal or mixtures of…
Cluster-Weighted Modeling (CWM) is a flexible mixture approach for modeling the joint probability of data coming from a heterogeneous population as a weighted sum of the products of marginal distributions and conditional distributions. In…
The integration of distributed renewable generation (DRG) in distribution networks can be effectively promoted by scheduling flexible resources such as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) loads. However, finding the optimal…
Security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) model is used for power system day-ahead scheduling. However, current SCUC model uses a static network to deliver power and meet demand optimally. A dynamic network can provide a lower optimal…
High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…
This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…
The unit commitment problem (UC) is an optimization problem concerning the operation of electrical generators. Many algorithms have been proposed for the UC and in recent years a more decentralized approach, by solving the UC with…
We study a joint wind farm planning and operational scheduling problem under decision-dependent uncertainty. The objective is to determine the optimal number of wind turbines at each location to minimize total cost, including both…
In this paper we present a stochastic scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) approach for the operation of islanded microgrids with high share of renewable energy sources. We require that the stored energy remains within given bounds…
Insufficient flexibility in system operation caused by traditional "heat-set" operating modes of combined heat and power (CHP) units in winter heating periods is a key issue that limits renewable energy consumption. In order to reduce the…
Maintenance planning plays a key role in power system operations under uncertainty by helping system operators ensure a reliable and secure power grid. This paper studies a short-term condition-based integrated maintenance planning with…
Energy hubs convert and distribute energy resources by combining different energy inputs through multiple conversion and storage components. The optimal operation of the energy hub exploits its flexibility to increase the energy efficiency…
Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…
In many machine learning tasks, it is often necessary for the relationship between input and output variables to be monotonic, including both strictly monotonic and implicitly monotonic relationships. Traditional methods for maintaining…
The increase in renewable energy sources (RESs), like wind or solar power, results in growing uncertainty also in transmission grids. This affects grid stability through fluctuating energy supply and an increased probability of overloaded…
This paper addresses the energy management of a grid-connected renewable generation plant coupled with a battery energy storage device in the capacity firming market, designed to promote renewable power generation facilities in small…