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Motivated by the current fears of a potentially stagflationary global economic environment, this paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to study multivariate time series pertaining to country inflation (CPI),…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Kevin Chin

The aim of this paper is to identify the determinants of international stock markets integration. Intuitively we selected a great number of factors linked to financial integration. Then, we developed an international asset-pricing model…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-26 Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

Drawing on recent contributions inferring financial interconnectedness from market data, our paper provides new insights on the evolution of the US financial industry over a long period of time by using several tools coming from network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-07-04 Yérali Gandica , Marco Valerio Geraci , Sophie Béreau , Jean-Yves Gnabo

The relation between time series irreversibility and entropy production has been recently investigated in thermodynamic systems operating away from equilibrium. In this work we explore this concept in the context of financial time series.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-11 Lucas Lacasa , Ryan Flanagan

With multiple components and relations, financial data are often presented as graph data, since it could represent both the individual features and the complicated relations. Due to the complexity and volatility of the financial market, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-27 Jianian Wang , Sheng Zhang , Yanghua Xiao , Rui Song

This study applies Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) to the MSCI World index and converts the resulting intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) into graph representations to enable modeling with graph neural networks (GNNs). Using CEEMDAN, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Agustín M. de los Riscos , Julio E. Sandubete , Diego Carmona-Fernández , León Beleña

Technological advancements in cryptocurrency markets have increased accessibility for investors, but concurrently exposed them to the risks of market manipulations. Existing fraud detection mechanisms typically rely on machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Lidia Losavio , Luca Persia , Madan Sathe , Dimosthenis Pasadakis

Graphs are widely used in various fields of computer science. They have also found application in unrelated areas, leading to a diverse range of problems. These problems can be modeled as relationships between entities in various contexts,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Davide Rucci

In the past two decades, the field of applied finance has tremendously benefited from graph theory. As a result, novel methods ranging from asset network estimation to hierarchical asset selection and portfolio allocation are now part of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 José Vinícius de Miranda Cardoso , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel Perez Palomar

Financial transactions constitute connections between entities and through these connections a large scale heterogeneous weighted graph is formulated. In this labyrinth of interactions that are continuously updated, there exists a variety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Antonia Gogoglou , Brian Nguyen , Alan Salimov , Jonathan Rider , C. Bayan Bruss

The rise of digital ecosystems has exposed the financial sector to evolving abuse and criminal tactics that share operational knowledge and techniques both within and across different environments (fiat-based, crypto-assets, etc.).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Francesco Zola , Jon Ander Medina , Andrea Venturi , Amaia Gil , Raul Orduna

A non-parametric method for ranking stock indices according to their mutual causal influences is presented. Under the assumption that indices reflect the underlying economy of a country, such a ranking indicates which countries exert the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-23 Theo Diamandis , Yonathan Murin , Andrea Goldsmith

The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-22 Matthias Raddant , Dror Y. Kenett

Financial global crisis has devastating impacts to economies since early XX century and continues to impose increasing collateral damages for governments, enterprises, and society in general. Up to now, all efforts to obtain efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Bruna Amin Gonçalves , Laura Carpi , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Martin G. Ravetti , A. P. F Atman

This paper presents a simple method for a posteriori (historical) multi-variate multi-stage optimal trading under transaction costs and a diversification constraint. Starting from a given amount of money in some currency, we analyze the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-03 Mogens Graf Plessen , Alberto Bemporad

Export controls have become one of America's most prominent tools of economic statecraft. They aim to block rival countries' access to sensitive technologies, safeguard U.S. supply chains, protect national security, and shape geopolitical…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Yunsen Lei , Kexin Bai , Quan Li , H. Howie Huang

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

This paper proposes a time-zone vector autoregression (VAR) model to investigate comovements in the global financial market. Analyzing daily data from 36 national equity markets, we explore the subprime and European debt crises using static…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-10 Boyao Wu , Difang Huang , Muzi Chen

Investment returns naturally reside on irregular domains, however, standard multivariate portfolio optimization methods are agnostic to data structure. To this end, we investigate ways for domain knowledge to be conveniently incorporated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Ljubisa Stankovic , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic
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