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In this paper, we propose a novel online optimization algorithm built by combining ideas from control theory and system identification. The foundation of our algorithm is a control-based design that makes use of the internal model of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Wouter J. A. van Weerelt , Lantian Zhang , Silun Zhang , Nicola Bastianello

Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-03 Anahita Namvar , Mohammad Siami , Fethi Rabhi , Mohsen Naderpour

The present article is focused on the problem of prediction of student failures with the purpose of their possible prevention by timely introducing supportive measures. We propose a concept for building a predictive model based on Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-22 T. A. Kustitskaya , A. A. Kytmanov , M. V. Noskov

Feature screening is useful and popular to detect informative predictors for ultrahigh-dimensional data before developing proceeding statistical analysis or constructing statistical models. While a large body of feature screening procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-12 Li-Pang Chen

Credit scoring models, which are among the most potent risk management tools that banks and financial institutes rely on, have been a popular subject for research in the past few decades. Accordingly, many approaches have been developed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Mahsan Abdoli , Mohammad Akbari , Jamal Shahrabi

Credit scoring has been catalogued by the European Commission and the Executive Office of the US President as a high-risk classification task, a key concern being the potential harms of making loan approval decisions based on models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pablo Casas , Christophe Mues , Huan Yu

The adaptive processing of structured data is a long-standing research topic in machine learning that investigates how to automatically learn a mapping from a structured input to outputs of various nature. Recently, there has been an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Federico Errica

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

Network systems have become a ubiquitous modeling tool in many areas of science where nodes in a graph represent distributed processes and edges between nodes represent a form of dynamic coupling. When a network topology is already known…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-30 Donatello Materassi , Murti V. Salapaka

Optimal portfolio allocation is often formulated as a constrained risk problem, where one aims to minimize a risk measure subject to some performance constraints. This paper presents new Bayesian Optimization algorithms for such constrained…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li

This study addresses the actual behavior of the credit-card fraud detection environment where financial transactions containing sensitive data must not be amassed in an enormous amount to conduct learning. We introduce a new adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Armin Sadreddin , Samira Sadaoui

In this paper we present a novel approach to credit scoring of retail customers in the banking industry based on deep learning methods. We used RNNs on fine grained transnational data to compute credit scores for the loan applicants. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Dmitrii Babaev , Maxim Savchenko , Alexander Tuzhilin , Dmitrii Umerenkov

We investigate the data distribution valuation problem, which aims to quantify the values of data distributions from their samples. This is a recently proposed problem that is related to but different from classical data valuation and can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Cuong N. Nguyen , Cuong V. Nguyen

Deep learning is renowned for its theory-practice gap, whereby principled theory typically fails to provide much beneficial guidance for implementation in practice. This has been highlighted recently by the benign overfitting phenomenon:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Robert Salomone , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Financial institutions obtain enormous amounts of data about user transactions and money transfers, which can be considered as a large graph dynamically changing in time. In this work, we focus on the task of predicting new interactions in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-24 Valentina Shumovskaia , Kirill Fedyanin , Ivan Sukharev , Dmitry Berestnev , Maxim Panov

The rise of algorithmic decision-making has spawned much research on fair machine learning (ML). Financial institutions use ML for building risk scorecards that support a range of credit-related decisions. Yet, the literature on fair ML in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Nikita Kozodoi , Johannes Jacob , Stefan Lessmann

Network estimation and variable selection have been extensively studied in the statistical literature, but only recently have those two challenges been addressed simultaneously. In this paper, we seek to develop a novel method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Nathan Osborne , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

Bayesian Networks (BNs) represent conditional probability relations among a set of random variables (nodes) in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), and have found diverse applications in knowledge discovery. We study the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Simge Kucukyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Hasan Manzour , Linchuan Wei , Hao-Hsiang Wu

This paper addresses the problem of community detection in networked data that combines link and content analysis. Most existing work combines link and content information by a generative model. There are two major shortcomings with the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Tianbao Yang , Rong Jin , Yun Chi , Shenghuo Zhu