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In recent years, impressive progress has been made in the design of implicit probabilistic models via Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) and its extension, the Conditional GAN (CGAN). Excellent solutions have been demonstrated mostly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Karan Aggarwal , Matthieu Kirchmeyer , Pranjul Yadav , S. Sathiya Keerthi , Patrick Gallinari

In this paper, we propose a novel variational generator framework for conditional GANs to catch semantic details for improving the generation quality and diversity. Traditional generators in conditional GANs simply concatenate the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Mingqi Hu , Deyu Zhou , Yulan He

Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We identify a new variational inference scheme for dynamical systems whose transition function is modelled by a Gaussian process. Inference in this setting has either employed computationally intensive MCMC methods, or relied on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-14 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We introduce a particular construction of an autocorrelation matrix of a time series and its analysis based on the random-matrix theory ideas that is capable of unveiling the type of correlations information which is inaccessible to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-11 Tayeb Jamali , Hamed Saberi , G. R. Jafari

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a central tail-risk measure in stochastic structural mechanics, yet its accurate evaluation under high-dimensional, spatially correlated material uncertainty remains computationally prohibitive for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Alireza Tabarraei

In this paper, we propose a novel high-dimensional time-varying coefficient estimator for noisy high-frequency observations with a factor structure. In high-frequency finance, we often observe that noises dominate the signal of underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim

In this work we propose an approximate Minimum Mean-Square Error (MMSE) filter for linear dynamic systems with Gaussian Mixture noise. The proposed estimator tracks each component of the Gaussian Mixture (GM) posterior with an individual…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-26 Leila Pishdad , Fabrice Labeau

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

We present a unified view of likelihood based Gaussian progress regression for simulation experiments exhibiting input-dependent noise. Replication plays an important role in that context, however previous methods leveraging replicates have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Mickael Binois , Robert B. Gramacy , Michael Ludkovski

We develop two novel stochastic variance-reduction methods to approximate solutions of a class of nonmonotone [generalized] equations. Our algorithms leverage a new combination of ideas from the forward-reflected-backward splitting method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Quoc Tran-Dinh

This work develops a Bayesian non-parametric approach to signal separation where the signals may vary according to latent variables. Our key contribution is to augment Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models (GPLVMs) for the case where each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 James Odgers , Ruby Sedgwick , Chrysoula Kappatou , Ruth Misener , Sarah Filippi

Recent algebraic parametric estimation techniques led to point-wise derivative estimates by using only the iterated integral of a noisy observation signal. In this paper, we extend such differentiation methods by providing a larger choice…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Da-Yan Liu , Olivier Gibaru , Wilfrid Perruquetti

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We consider Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained. This occurs for example when complex simulator-based statistical models are fitted to data, and synthetic likelihood (SL) method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen