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Recent approaches to causal inference have focused on causal effects defined as contrasts between the distribution of counterfactual outcomes under hypothetical interventions on the nodes of a graphical model. In this article we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Iván Díaz

We consider the problem of learning causal networks with interventions, when each intervention is limited in size under Pearl's Structural Equation Model with independent errors (SEM-IE). The objective is to minimize the number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Murat Kocaoglu , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Sriram Vishwanath

We study the complexity of approximating the partition function $Z_{\mathrm{Ising}}(G; \beta)$ of the Ising model in terms of the relation between the edge interaction $\beta$ and a parameter $\Delta$ which is an upper bound on the maximum…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-04-11 Andreas Galanis , Leslie Ann Goldberg , Andrés Herrera-Poyatos

Employing heuristic susceptibility equations in conjunction with the well-known critical exponents, the magnetization and partition function for two-dimensional nearest neighbour Ising models are formulated in terms of the Gauss…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-18 M. V. Sangaranarayanan

We study the computational complexity of approximating the partition function of the ferromagnetic Ising model with the external field parameter $\lambda$ on the unit circle in the complex plane. Complex-valued parameters for the Ising…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Pjotr Buys , Andreas Galanis , Viresh Patel , Guus Regts

We give a Pfaffian formula to compute the partition function of the Ising model on any graph $G$ embedded in a closed, possibly non-orientable surface. This formula, which is suitable for computational purposes, is based on the relation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Anh Minh Pham

In this paper, we deal with the problem of estimating the intervention effect in the statistical causal analysis using the structural equation model and the causal diagram. The intervention effect is defined as a causal effect on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-17 Shunsuke Horii , Tota Suko

Motivated by performance optimization of large-scale graph processing systems that distribute the graph across multiple machines, we consider the balanced graph partitioning problem. Compared to the previous work, we study the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Dmitrii Avdiukhin , Sergey Pupyrev , Grigory Yaroslavtsev

Recent inapproximability results of Sly (2010), together with an approximation algorithm presented by Weitz (2006) establish a beautiful picture for the computational complexity of approximating the partition function of the hard-core…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-09-14 Andreas Galanis , Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

We give polynomial-time algorithms for the exact computation of lowest-energy (ground) states, worst margin violators, log partition functions, and marginal edge probabilities in certain binary undirected graphical models. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-09-29 Nicol N. Schraudolph , Dmitry Kamenetsky

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-04 Jason K. Johnson , Diane Oyen , Michael Chertkov , Praneeth Netrapalli

Describing the causal relations governing a system is a fundamental task in many scientific fields, ideally addressed by experimental studies. However, obtaining data under intervention scenarios may not always be feasible, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-06 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Causal inference has traditionally focused on interventions at the unit level. In many applications, however, the central question concerns the causal effects of connections between units, such as transportation links, social relationships,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shuli Chen , Jie Hu , Zhichao Jiang

A well known theorem due to Kasteleyn states that the partition function of an Ising model on an arbitrary planar graph can be represented as the Pfaffian of a skew-symmetric matrix associated to the graph. This results both embodies the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-30 Thierry Gobron

We study efficient estimation of an interventional mean associated with a point exposure treatment under a causal graphical model represented by a directed acyclic graph without hidden variables. Under such a model, it may happen that a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 F. Richard Guo , Emilija Perković , Andrea Rotnitzky

Causal inference quantifies cause-effect relationships by estimating counterfactual parameters from data. This entails using \emph{identification theory} to establish a link between counterfactual parameters of interest and distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-17 Jaron J. R. Lee , Ilya Shpitser

We conjecture that the worst case number of experiments necessary and sufficient to discover a causal graph uniquely given its observational Markov equivalence class can be specified as a function of the largest clique in the Markov…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Frederick Eberhardt

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani

We present a new approach to a classical problem in statistical physics: estimating the partition function and other thermodynamic quantities of the ferromagnetic Ising model. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for this problem have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-20 Amanda Streib , Noah Streib , Isabel Beichl , Francis Sullivan

Probabilistic Graphical Bayesian models of causation have continued to impact on strategic analyses designed to help evaluate the efficacy of different interventions on systems. However, the standard causal algebras upon which these…