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Bounding chains are a technique that offers three benefits to Markov chain practitioners: a theoretical bound on the mixing time of the chain under restricted conditions, experimental bounds on the mixing time of the chain that are provably…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Huber

Bayesian mixture models are widely applied for unsupervised learning and exploratory data analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo based on Gibbs sampling and split-merge moves are widely used for inference in these models. However, both methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-03 Tue Herlau , Morten Mørup , Yee Whye Teh , Mikkel N. Schmidt

Perturbation theory for Markov chains addresses the question how small differences in the transitions of Markov chains are reflected in differences between their distributions. We prove powerful and flexible bounds on the distance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-27 Daniel Rudolf , Nikolaus Schweizer

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

We consider a strictly substochastic matrix or an stochastic matrix with absorbing states. By using quasi-stationary distributions one shows there is a canonical associated stationary Markov chain. Based upon $2-$stringing representation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-03 Servet Martínez

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

We study transformers' in-context learning of variable-length Markov chains (VOMCs), focusing on the finite-sample accuracy as the number of in-context examples increases. Compared to fixed-order Markov chains (FOMCs), learning VOMCs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian , Suhas Diggavi

Preliminary low-thrust spacecraft mission design is a global search problem characterized by a complex solution landscape, multiple objectives, and numerous local minima. During this phase, mission parameters are often not yet fully…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Jannik Graebner , Ryne Beeson

This paper considers stochastic-constrained stochastic optimization where the stochastic constraint is to satisfy that the expectation of a random function is below a certain threshold. In particular, we study the setting where data samples…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yeongjong Kim , Dabeen Lee

We investigate the classical active pure exploration problem in Markov Decision Processes, where the agent sequentially selects actions and, from the resulting system trajectory, aims at identifying the best policy as fast as possible. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Aymen Al Marjani , Aurélien Garivier , Alexandre Proutiere

Stochastic optimization is a widely used approach for optimization under uncertainty, where uncertain input parameters are modeled by random variables. Exact or approximation algorithms have been obtained for several fundamental problems in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Arpit Agarwal , Rohan Ghuge , Viswanath Nagarajan , Zhengjia Zhuo

We study stochastic optimization algorithms for constrained nonconvex stochastic optimization problems with Markovian data. In particular, we focus on the case when the transition kernel of the Markov chain is state-dependent. Such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Abhishek Roy , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Saeed Ghadimi

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

Consider a system of \(n\) players in which each initially starts on a different team. At each time step, we select an individual winner and an individual loser randomly and the loser joins the winner's team. The resulting Markov chain and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Robert Mena , Will Murray

Spectral methods have proven to be a highly effective tool in understanding the intrinsic geometry of a high-dimensional data set $\left\{x_i \right\}_{i=1}^{n} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. The key ingredient is the construction of a Markov chain…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-11-07 Stefan Steinerberger

This work reports the most relevant technical aspects in the problem of learning the \emph{Markov network structure} from data. Such problem has become increasingly important in machine learning, and many other application fields of machine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-21 Federico Schlüter

Evolutions of the trading landscape lead to the capability to exchange the same financial instrument on different venues. Because of liquidity issues, the trading firms split large orders across several trading destinations to optimize…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 Sophie Laruelle , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Gilles Pagès

Motivated by the penetration of converter-based generation into the electrical grid, we revisit the classical log-linear learning algorithm for optimal allocation {of synchronous machines and converters} for mixed power generation. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Taouba Jouini , Zhiyong Sun

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson
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