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In this paper, we focus on studying central limit theorems for functionals of some specific stationary random processes. In classical probability theory, it is well-known that for non-linear functionals of stationary Gaussian sequences, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Zhichao Wang

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

The Hurst exponent is the simplest numerical summary of self-similar long-range dependent stochastic processes. We consider the estimation of Hurst exponent in long-range dependent curve time series. Our estimation method begins by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-21 Han Lin Shang

Advances in machine learning technologies have led to increasingly powerful models in particular in the context of big data. Yet, many application scenarios demand for robustly interpretable models rather than optimum model accuracy; as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Lukas Pfannschmidt , Jonathan Jakob , Fabian Hinder , Michael Biehl , Peter Tino , Barbara Hammer

We study central limit theorems for certain nonlinear sequences of random variables. In particular, we prove the central limit theorems for the bounded conductivity of the random resistor networks on hierarchical lattices.

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Jung M. Woo , Jan Wehr

In this paper, we present methods of obtaining single moments of order statistics arising from posibly dependent and non-identically distributed discrete random variables. We derive exact and approximate formulas convenient for numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Anna Dembińska , Agnieszka Goroncy

A high order expansion of the renewal function is provided under the assumption that the inter-renewal time distribution is light tailed with finite moment generating function g on a neighborhood of 0. This expansion relies on complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Clément Dombry , Landy Rabehasaina

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Jacob Ayers , Richard Hahnloser , Julia Ulrich , Lothar Sebastian Krapp , Remo Nitschke , Sabine Stoll , Balthasar Bickel , Reinhard Furrer

We consider stationary time series $\{X_j, j \in Z\} whose finite dimensional distributions are regularly varying with extremal independence. We assume that for each $h \geq 1$, conditionally on $X_0$ to exceed a threshold tending to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Clemonell Bilayi-Biakana , Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Ordinal variables, such as on the Likert scale, are common in applied research. Yet, existing methods for causal inference tend to target nominal or continuous data. When applied to ordinal data, this fails to account for the inherent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Martina Scauda , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

When using ordinal patterns, which describe the ordinal structure within a data vector, the problem of ties appeared permanently. So far, model classes were used which do not allow for ties; randomization has been another attempt to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-24 Alexander Schnurr , Svenja Fischer

We consider functionals of long-range dependent Gaussian sequences with infinite variance and obtain nonstandard limit theorems. When the long-range dependence is strong enough, the limit is a Hermite process, while for weaker long-range…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Allan Sly , Chris Heyde

This research attempts to model the stochastic process of trades in a limit order book market as a marked point process. We propose a semi-parametric model for the conditional distribution given the past, attempting to capture the effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Mingyu Tang , Mark Schervish

It is often desired that ordinal regression models yield unimodal predictions. However, in many recent works this characteristic is either absent, or implemented using soft targets, which do not guarantee unimodal outputs at inference. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-19 Uri Shaham , Igal Zaidman , Jonathan Svirsky

This article is dedicated to the following class of problems. Start with an $N\times N$ Hermitian matrix randomly picked from a matrix ensemble - the reference matrix. Applying a rank-$t$ perturbation to it, with $t$ taking the values $1\le…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-30 Barbara Dietz , Holger Schanz , Uzy Smilansky , Hans Weidenmüller

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-11-08 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Many topological data analysis (TDA) pipelines compute large collections of persistence diagrams, yet vectorizations and kernel methods discard the rank-induced implication relations among persistence intervals that are essential for…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Charles Fanning , Mehmet Aktas