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The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes

We investigate the probability of observing a given pattern of $n$ rises and falls in a random stationary data series. The data are modelled as a sequence of $n+1$ independent and identically distributed random numbers. This probabilistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-04-29 J M Luck

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

`What more than its truth do we know if we have a proof of a theorem in a given formal system?' We examine Kreisel's question in the particular context of program termination proofs, with an eye to deriving complexity bounds on program…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-09-26 Sylvain Schmitz

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

As a specific proportional hazard rates model, sequential order statistics can be used to describe the lifetimes of load-sharing systems. Inference for these systems needs to account for small sample sizes, which are prevalent in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Fabian Mies , Stefan Bedbur

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data, which may not be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Shogo Nakakita , Masaaki Imaizumi

The limit behavior is studied for the distributions of normalized U- and V-statistics of an arbitrary order with canonical (degenerate) kernels, based on samples of increasing sizes from a stationary sequence of observations satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-01 I. S. Borisov , N. Volodko

We introduce an extension of the diagrammatic rules in random matrix theory and apply it to nonhermitean random matrix models using the 1/N approximation. A number of one- and two-point functions are evaluated on their holomorphic and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Romuald A. Janik , Maciej A. Nowak , Gabor Papp , Ismail Zahed

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In this work we discuss the problem of selecting suitable approximators from families of parameterized elementary functions that are known to be dense in a Hilbert space of functions. We consider and analyze published procedures, both…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-09-01 Alexander N. Gorban , Ivan Yu. Tyukin , Danil V. Prokhorov , Konstantin I. Sofeikov

We present a nonparametric framework to model a short sequence of probability distributions that vary both due to underlying effects of sequential progression and confounding noise. To distinguish between these two types of variation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Jonas Mueller , Tommi Jaakkola , David Gifford

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

In this paper, we have obtained conditions on parameters that result in dispersive ordering and star ordering among two unequal sets of random variables from Proportional hazard rate and Proportional reversed hazard rate family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Madhurima Datta , Nitin Gupta

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

Consider an experiment involving a potentially small number of subjects. Some random variables are observed on each subject: a high-dimensional one called the "observed" random variable, and a one-dimensional one called the "outcome" random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 Tarun Yellamraju , Mireille Boutin

We calculate various CFT data for the $O(N)$ vector model with the long-range interaction, working at the next-to-leading order in the $1/N$ expansion. Our results provide additional evidence for the existence of conformal symmetry at the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-10-07 Noam Chai , Mikhail Goykhman , Ritam Sinha

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Empirical detection of long range dependence (LRD) of a time series often consists of deciding whether an estimate of the memory parameter $d$ corresponds to LRD. Surprisingly, the literature offers numerous spectral domain estimators for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev