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Multivariate time series forecasting is a challenging task because the data involves a mixture of long- and short-term patterns, with dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies among variables. Existing graph neural networks (GNN) typically model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Zhuoling Li , Gaowei Zhang , Lingyu Xu , Jie Yu

Dynamic networks are a general language for describing time-evolving complex systems, and discrete time network models provide an emerging statistical technique for various applications. It is a fundamental research question to detect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Kevin H. Lee , Lingzhou Xue , David R. Hunter

This paper introduces sparse dynamic chain graph models for network inference in high dimensional non-Gaussian time series data. The proposed method parametrized by a precision matrix that encodes the intra time-slice conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-28 Pariya Behrouzi , Fentaw Abegaz , Ernst C. Wit

The study of evolution of networks has received increased interest with the recent discovery that many real-world networks possess many things in common, in particular the manner of evolution of such networks. By adding a dimension of time…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-06-24 Anurat Chapanond , Mukkai S. Krishnamoorthy , G. M. Prabhu , J. Punin

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) are probabilistic network models that are parametrized by sufficient statistics based on structural (i.e., graph-theoretic) properties. The ergm package for the R statistical computing system…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-24 Omer Nebil Yaveroglu , Sean M. Fitzhugh , Maciej Kurant , Athina Markopoulou , Carter T. Butts , Natasa Przulj

Complex systems with intricate causal dependencies challenge accurate prediction. Effective modeling requires precise physical process representation, integration of interdependent factors, and incorporation of multi-resolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Susu Xu

Exponential-family Random Graph Models (ERGMs) constitute a large statistical framework for modeling sparse and dense random graphs, short- and long-tailed degree distributions, covariates, and a wide range of complex dependencies. Special…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Michael Schweinberger , Pavel N. Krivitsky , Carter T. Butts , Jonathan Stewart

Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

Many different classification tasks need to manage structured data, which are usually modeled as graphs. Moreover, these graphs can be dynamic, meaning that the vertices/edges of each graph may change during time. Our goal is to jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Franco Manessi , Alessandro Rozza , Mario Manzo

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Xiao Zhang , Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

Modeling and predicting temporal point processes (TPPs) is critical in domains such as neuroscience, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. We introduce the Spiking Dynamic Graph Network (SDGN), a novel framework that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Biswadeep Chakraborty , Hemant Kumawat , Beomseok Kang , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Bipartite graphs, representing two-mode networks, arise in many research fields. These networks have two disjoint node sets representing distinct entity types, for example persons and groups, with edges representing associations between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Alex Stivala , Peng Wang , Alessandro Lomi

Dynamic graph representation learning has emerged as a crucial research area, driven by the growing need for analyzing time-evolving graph data in real-world applications. While recent approaches leveraging recurrent neural networks (RNNs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Shengxiang Hu , Guobing Zou , Song Yang , Shiyi Lin , Yanglan Gan , Bofeng Zhang

Graph Neural Networks have gained huge interest in the past few years. These powerful algorithms expanded deep learning models to non-Euclidean space and were able to achieve state of art performance in various applications including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Zahraa Al Sahili , Mariette Awad

This work proposes an algorithmic framework to learn time-varying graphs from online data. The generality offered by the framework renders it model-independent, i.e., it can be theoretically analyzed in its abstract formulation and then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Alberto Natali , Elvin Isufi , Mario Coutino , Geert Leus

A new modelling approach for the analysis of weighted networks with ordinal/polytomous dyadic values is introduced. Specifically, it is proposed to model the weighted network connectivity structure using a hierarchical multilayer…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-05 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We propose an observation-driven modeling framework that allows model parameters to vary over time through an implicit score-driven (ISD) update. The ISD update maximizes the logarithmic observation density with respect to the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

We extend the classical edge-triangle Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) to an inhomogeneous setting in which vertices carry types determined by an underlying partition. This leads to a block-structured ERGM where interaction parameters…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Elena Magnanini

Representation learning models for graphs are a successful family of techniques that project nodes into feature spaces that can be exploited by other machine learning algorithms. Since many real-world networks are inherently dynamic, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Simone Piaggesi , André Panisson