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Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

Modeling of dynamic networks -- networks that evolve over time -- has manifold applications in many fields. In epidemiology in particular, there is a need for data-driven modeling of human sexual relationship networks for the purpose of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Temporal exponential random graph models (TERGM) are powerful statistical models that can be used to infer the temporal pattern of edge formation and elimination in complex networks (e.g., social networks). TERGMs can also be used in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Yifan Huang , Clayton Barham , Eric Page , PK Douglas

As a representation of relational data over time series, longitudinal networks provide opportunities to study link formation processes. However, networks at scale often exhibits community structure (i.e. clustering), which may confound…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-11 Steve Hanneke , Wenjie Fu , Eric Xing

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

Krivitsky and Handcock (2014) proposed a Separable Temporal ERGM (STERGM) framework for modeling social networks, which facilitates separable modeling of the tie duration distributions and the structural dynamics of tie formation. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Temporal networks are increasingly being used to model the interactions of complex systems. Most studies require the temporal aggregation of edges (or events) into discrete time steps to perform analysis. In this article we describe a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Andrew Mellor

The study of temporal networks in discrete time has yielded numerous insights into time-dependent networked systems in a wide variety of applications. For many complex systems, however, it is useful to develop continuous-time models of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Xinzhe Zuo , Mason A Porter

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

A great variety of systems in nature, society and technology -- from the web of sexual contacts to the Internet, from the nervous system to power grids -- can be modeled as graphs of vertices coupled by edges. The network structure,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-10-10 Petter Holme , Jari Saramäki

Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

The Exponential-family Random Graph Model (ERGM) is a powerful model to fit networks with complex structures. However, for dynamic valued networks whose observations are matrices of counts that evolve over time, the development of the ERGM…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yik Lun Kei , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

In this paper we propose to extend the separable temporal exponential random graph model (STERGM) to account for time-varying network- and actor-specific effects. Our application case is the network of international major conventional…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-05 Michael Lebacher , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

The temporal exponential random graph model (TERGM) and the stochastic actor-oriented model (SAOM, e.g., SIENA) are popular models for longitudinal network analysis. We compare these models theoretically, via simulation, and through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Philip Leifeld , Skyler J. Cranmer

The application of network analysis has found great success in a wide variety of disciplines; however, the popularity of these approaches has revealed the difficulty in handling networks whose complexity scales rapidly. One of the main…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Anna Malinovskaya , Philipp Otto

Dynamic networks are a general language for describing time-evolving complex systems, and discrete time network models provide an emerging statistical technique for various applications. It is a fundamental research question to detect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Kevin H. Lee , Lingzhou Xue , David R. Hunter

Networks representing social, biological, technological or other systems are often characterized by higher-order interaction involving any number of nodes. Temporal hypergraphs are given by ordered sequences of hyperedges representing sets…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Jürgen Lerner , Marian-Gabriel Hâncean , Matjaz Perc

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Conventional modelling of networks evolving in time focuses on capturing variations in the network structure. However, the network might be static from the origin or experience only deterministic, regulated changes in its structure,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Anna Malinovskaya , Rebecca Killick , Kathryn Leeming , Philipp Otto
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