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Related papers: Predicting Brazilian court decisions

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We show that the Brier game of prediction is mixable and find the optimal learning rate and substitution function for it. The resulting prediction algorithm is applied to predict results of football and tennis matches. The theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-02 Vladimir Vovk , Fedor Zhdanov

Bayesian networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models for describing complex joint probability distributions. The main problem for BNs is inference: Determine the probability of an event given observed evidence. Since exact inference…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-03-01 Kevin Batz , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Crowd predictions have demonstrated powerful performance in predicting future events. We aim to understand crowd prediction efficacy in ascertaining the veracity of human emotional expressions. We discover that collective discernment can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Zhenyue Qin , Tom Gedeon , Sabrina Caldwell

In a legal system, judgment consistency is regarded as one of the most important manifestations of fairness. However, due to the complexity of factual elements that impact sentencing in real-world scenarios, few works have been done on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Yuzhong Wang , Chaojun Xiao , Shirong Ma , Haoxi Zhong , Cunchao Tu , Tianyang Zhang , Zhiyuan Liu , Maosong Sun

The proportional elections held in Brazil in 1998 and 2002 display identical statistical signatures. In particular, the distribution of votes among candidates includes a power-law regimen. We suggest that the rationale behind this robust…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. N. Costa Filho , M. P. Almeida , J. E. Moreira , J. S. Andrade

Randomization procedures are used in legal and statistical applications, aiming to shield important decisions from spurious influences. This article gives an intuitive introduction to randomization and examines some intended consequences of…

The large amount of data available in social media, forums and websites motivates researches in several areas of Natural Language Processing, such as sentiment analysis. The popularity of the area due to its subjective and semantic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Henrico Bertini Brum , Maria das Graças Volpe Nunes

The study of complex systems has attracted widespread attention from researchers in the fields of natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Prediction is one of the central issues in this field. Although most related studies have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-21 En Xu , Yilin Bi , Hongwei Hu , Xin Chen , Zhiwen Yu , Yong Li , Yanqing Hu , Tao Zhou

Predicting the outcomes of future events is a challenging problem for which a variety of solution methods have been explored and attempted. We present an empirical comparison of a variety of online and offline adaptive algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Varsha Dani , Omid Madani , David M Pennock , Sumit Sanghai , Brian Galebach

Legal judgments may contain errors due to the complexity of case circumstances and the abstract nature of legal concepts, while existing appellate review mechanisms face efficiency pressures from a surge in case volumes. Although current…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Yifei Li , Richong Zhang , Wanyu Tu , Zhijie Nie , Haokun Luo , Chuantao Yin , Pengchong Li

Recidivism prediction provides decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend that can be used in pre-trial decision-making. It can also be used for prediction of locations where crimes most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Eduardo Soares , Plamen Angelov

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This paper introduces INACIA (Instru\c{c}\~ao Assistida com Intelig\^encia Artificial), a groundbreaking system designed to integrate Large Language Models (LLMs) into the operational framework of Brazilian Federal Court of Accounts (TCU).…

This work investigates legal concepts and their expression in Portuguese, concentrating on the "Order of Attorneys of Brazil" Bar exam. Using a corpus formed by a collection of multiple-choice questions, three norms related to the Ethics…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Alessandra Cid , Alexandre Rademaker , Bruno Cuconato , Valeria de Paiva

This article describes ongoing research with the aim of understanding the concept of justice in the field of software engineering, the factors that underlie the creation and instrumentalization of these concepts, and the limitations faced…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Lucas Rodrigues Valença , Ronnie de Souza Santos

We introduce a novel rule-based approach for handling regression problems. The new methodology carries elements from two frameworks: (i) it provides information about the uncertainty of the parameters of interest using Bayesian inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Themistoklis Botsas , Lachlan R. Mason , Indranil Pan

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Doctors often rely on their past experience in order to diagnose patients. For a doctor with enough experience, almost every patient would have similarities to key cases seen in the past, and each new patient could be viewed as a mixture of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Ramin Moghaddass , Cynthia Rudin

Legal NLP benchmarks are overwhelmingly English-centric, leaving failure modes in morphologically rich, non-Latin-script languages undetected. We introduce UA-Legal-Bench, a five-task benchmark for evaluating large language models on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Volodymyr Ovcharov

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker