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An important issue in functional time series analysis is whether an observed series comes from a purely random process. We extend the BDS test, a widely-used nonlinear independence test, to the functional time series. Like the BDS test in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Xin Huang , Han Lin Shang , Tak Kuen Siu

Human mortality patterns and trajectories in closely related populations are likely linked together and share similarities. It is always desirable to model them simultaneously while taking their heterogeneity into account. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Modelling and forecasting homogeneous age-specific mortality rates of multiple countries could lead to improvements in long-term forecasting. Data fed into joint models are often grouped according to nominal attributes, such as geographic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-05 Chen Tang , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

Tensors provide a structured representation for multidimensional data, yet discretization can obscure important information when such data originates from continuous processes. We address this limitation by introducing a functional Tucker…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Noah Steidle , Joppe De Jonghe , Mariya Ishteva

A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Changyu Liu , Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Xingqiu Zhao

Here, we address the problem of trend estimation for functional time series. Existing contributions either deal with detecting a functional trend or assuming a simple model. They consider neither the estimation of a general functional trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

Large health surveys increasingly collect high-dimensional functional data from wearable devices, and function on scalar regression (FoSR) is often used to quantify the relationship between these functional outcomes and scalar covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-10 Lily Koffman , Sunan Gao , Xinkai Zhou , Andrew Leroux , Ciprian Crainiceanu , John Muschelli

Integrative analysis of multivariate functional time series (MFTS) is both critical and challenging across many scientific domains. Such data often exhibit complex multi-way dependencies arising from within-curve structures, temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Zerui Guo , Jianbin Tan , Hui Huang

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

We tackle the challenges of modeling high-dimensional data sets, particularly those with latent low-dimensional structures hidden within complex, non-linear, and noisy relationships. Our approach enables a seamless integration of concepts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-17 Zichuan Guo , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-23 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

Determining the number of factors in high-dimensional factor modeling is essential but challenging, especially when the data are heavy-tailed. In this paper, we introduce a new estimator based on the spectral properties of Spearman sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jiaxin Qiu , Zeng Li , Jianfeng Yao

Data-fusion involves the integration of multiple related datasets. The statistical file-matching problem is a canonical data-fusion problem in multivariate analysis, where the objective is to characterise the joint distribution of a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Daniel Ahfock , Saumyadipta Pyne , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

High-dimensional tensor-valued data have recently gained attention from researchers in economics and finance. We consider the estimation and inference of high-dimensional tensor factor models, where each dimension of the tensor diverges.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Bin Chen , Yuefeng Han , Qiyang Yu

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

This paper generalises dynamic factor models for multidimensional dependent data. In doing so, it develops an interpretable technique to study complex information sources ranging from repeated surveys with a varying number of respondents to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Filippo Pellegrino

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong