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The first part of this paper introduces a portfolio approach for quantifying the risk measures of pollution risk in the presence of dependence of PM$_{2.5}$ concentration of cities. The model is based on a copula dependence structure. For…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-18 Halis Sak , Guanyu Yang , Bailiang Li , Weifeng Li

Forecasting PM$_{2.5}$ concentration is important to solving air pollution problems in Wuhan. This paper proposes a PM$_{2.5}$ concentration forecast model based on nonlinear regression, including a single-value forecast model and an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-01 Jinghong Zeng

We propose a framework combining detrended fluctuation analysis with standard regression methodology. The method is built on detrended variances and covariances and it is designed to estimate regression parameters at different scales and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek

Segmented regression models offer model flexibility and interpretability as compared to the global parametric and the nonparametric models, and yet are challenging in both estimation and inference. We consider a four-regime segmented model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Han Yan , Song Xi Chen

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and detrended moving average (DMA) are two scaling analysis methods designed to quantify correlations in noisy non-stationary signals. We systematically study the performance of different variants of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Xu , P. Ch. Ivanov , K. Hu , Z. Chen , A. Carbone , H. E. Stanley

We examine the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), which is a well-established method for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. We show that deviations from scaling that appear at small time scales become stronger in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Henio H. A. Rego , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a scaling analysis method used to quantify long-range power-law correlations in signals. Many physical and biological signals are ``noisy'', heterogeneous and exhibit different types of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi Chen , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Kun Hu , H. Eugene Stanley

In many problem settings that require spatio-temporal forecasting, the values in the time-series not only exhibit spatio-temporal correlations but are also influenced by spatial diffusion across locations. One such example is forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Malay Pandey , Vaishali Jain , Nimit Godhani , Sachchida Nand Tripathi , Piyush Rai

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a scaling analysis method used to estimate long-range power-law correlation exponents in noisy signals. Many noisy signals in real systems display trends, so that the scaling results obtained from the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Kun Hu , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Zhi Chen , Pedro Carpena , H. Eugene Stanley

We examine the scaling regime for the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) - the most popular method used to detect the presence of long memory in data and the fractal structure of time series. First, the scaling range for DFA is studied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Dariusz Grech , Zygmunt Mazur

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a simple but very efficient method for investigating the power-law long-term correlations of non-stationary time series, in which a detrending step is necessary to obtain the local fluctuations at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Xi-Yuan Qian , Wei-Xing Zhou , Gao-Feng Gu

Accurate reporting and forecasting of PM2.5 concentration are important for improving public health. In this paper, we propose a daily prediction method of PM2.5 concentration by using data-driven ordinary differential equation (ODE)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-14 Yufang Wang , Haiyan Wang , Shuhua Zhang

We propose a novel multivariate signal denoising method that performs long-range correlation analysis of multiple modes in input data by considering inherent inter-channel dependencies of the data. That is achieved through a novel and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Khuram Naveed , Sidra Mukhtar , Naveed ur Rehman

We develop a method for the multifractal characterization of nonstationary time series, which is based on a generalization of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We relate our multifractal DFA method to the standard partition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Stephan A. Zschiegner , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Background: Human gait exhibits complex fractal fluctuations among consecutive strides. The time series of gait parameters are long-range correlated (statistical persistence). In contrast, when gait is synchronized with external rhythmic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-17 Philippe Terrier

The superfamily phenomenon of time series with different dynamics can be characterized by the motif rank patterns observed in the nearest-neighbor networks of the time series in phase space. However, the determinants of superfamily…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-22 Chuang Liu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

We present a general framework of detrending methods of fluctuation analysis of which detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is one prominent example. Another more recently introduced method is detrending moving average (DMA). Both methods…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Höll , Ken Kiyono , Holger Kantz

The spread of PM2.5 pollutants that endanger health is difficult to predict because it involves many atmospheric variables. These micron particles can spread rapidly from their source to residential areas, increasing the risk of respiratory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Hsing-Chung Chen , Karisma Trinanda Putra , Jerry Chun-WeiLin

The interactions between PM2.5 and meteorological factors play a crucial role in air pollution analysis. However, previous studies that have researched the relationships between PM2.5 concentration and meteorological conditions have been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 Qianqian Yang , Qiangqiang Yuan , Tongwen Li , Huanfeng Shen , Liangpei Zhang
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