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The asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities for the first hitting times of the Bessel process with arbitrary index is shown without using the explicit expressions for the distribution function obtained in the authors' previous works.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Yuji Hamana , Hiroyuki Matsumoto

It is considered the integrated process $X(t)= x + \int _0^t Y(s) ds ,$ where $Y(t)$ is a Gauss-Markov process starting from $y.$ The first-passage time (FPT) of $X$ through a constant boundary and the first-exit time of $X$ from an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Mario Abundo

For a L\'evy process on the real line, we provide complete criteria for the finiteness of exponential moments of the first passage time into the interval $(r,\infty)$, the sojourn time in the interval $(-\infty,r]$, and the last exit time…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-11 Frank Aurzada , Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

In this paper, an approximate version of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model, driven by a Brownian motion and a L\'evy subordinator, is formulated. The first-exit time of the log-return process for this model is analyzed. It is shown…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Shantanu Awasthi , Indranil SenGupta

We introduce a unified framework for solving first passage times of time-homogeneous diffusion processes. According to the killed version potential theory and the perturbation theory, we are able to deduce closed-form solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Angelos Dassios , Luting Li

For a spectrally positive strictly stable process with index in (1,2), the paper obtains i) the density of the time when the process makes first exit from an interval by hitting the interval's lower end point before jumping over its upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Zhiyi Chi

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

The problem is a log-asymptotics of the probability that the Integrated fractional Brownian motion of index 0<H<1 does not exceed a fixed level during long time. For the growing time interval (0,T) the hypothetical log-asymptotics is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 G. Molchan

The first-exit time process of an inverse Gaussian L\'evy process is considered. The one-dimensional distribution functions of the process are obtained. They are not infinitely divisible and the tail probabilities decay exponentially. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 P. Vellaisamy , A. Kumar

The purpose of this article is to compute the expected first exit times of Brownian motion from a variety of domains in the Euclidean plane and in the hyperbolic plane.

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Jesús Antonio Álvarez López , Alberto Candel

We study the exit problem of solutions of the stochastic differential equation dX(t)=-U'(X(t))dt+epsilon dL(t) from bounded or unbounded intervals which contain the unique asymptotically stable critical point of the deterministic dynamical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Imkeller , Ilya Pavlyukevich

We show that exact sampling of the first passage event can be done for a Levy process with unbounded variation, if the process can be embedded in a subordinated standard Brownian motion. By sampling a series of first exit events of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Zhiyi Chi

We derive the probability density function of the positive occupation time of one-dimensional Brownian motion with two-valued drift. Long time asymptotics of the density are also computed. We use the result to describe the transitional…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-06 David J. W. Simpson , Rachel Kuske

The mean first exit (passage) time characterizes the average time of a stochastic process never leaving a fixed region in the state space, while the escape probability describes the likelihood of a transition from one region to another for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Weihua Deng , Xiaochao Wu , Wanli Wang

Motivated by a common Mathematical Finance topic, we discuss the reciprocal of the exit time from a cone of planar Brownian motion which also corresponds to the exponential functional of an associated Brownian motion. We prove a conjecture…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Wissem Jedidi , Stavros Vakeroudis

We consider a discrete-time random walk on the nodes of an unbounded hexagonal lattice. We determine the probability generating functions, the transition probabilities and the relevant moments. The convergence of the stochastic process to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci , Serena Spina

The paper is concerned with a class of two-sided stochastic processes of the form $X=W+A$. Here $W$ is a two-sided Brownian motion with random initial data at time zero and $A\equiv A(W)$ is a function of $W$. Elements of the related…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

In this note we show a simple formula for the joint density of local times, last exit tree and cycling numbers of continuous-time Markov Chains on finite graphs, which involves the modified Bessel function of the first type.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Ruojun Huang , Daniel Kious , Vladas Sidoravicius , Pierre Tarrès

We consider the passage time problem for L\'evy processes, emphasising heavy tailed cases. Results are obtained under quite mild assumptions, namely, drift to $-\infty$ a.s. of the process, possibly at a linear rate (the finite mean case),…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Ron Doney , Claudia Klüppelberg , Ross Maller

In this note, we are interested in the probability that two independent squared Bessel processes do not cross for a long time. We show that this probability has a power decay which is given by the first zero of some hypergeometric function.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Christophe Profeta