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Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

The purpose of this note is to present in details R codes to implement a non-parametric method for change-point detection. The proposed approach is validated from various perspectives using simulations. This method is a competitor to that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Pierre Ailliot , N'Dèye Coumba Niass , Jean-Marc Derrien

This paper considers the change-point problem for finite sequences of networks. To avoid the difficulty of computing the normalization coefficient, such as in Exponential random graphical models (ERGMs) and Markov networks, we construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Lei Qiao , Dong Han

Stolarsky's invariance principle quantifies the deviation of a subset of a metric space from the uniform distribution. Classically derived for spherical sets, it has been recently studied in a number of other situations, revealing a general…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Alexander Barg

We address the problem of searching for a change point in an anomalous process among a finite set of M processes. Specifically, we address a composite hypothesis model in which each process generates measurements following a common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Liad Lea Didi , Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

This paper examines the joint problem of detection and identification of a sudden and unobservable change in the probability distribution function (pdf) of a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-04-16 Savas Dayanik , Christian Goulding , H. Vincent Poor

The subject of this paper is the problem of nonparametric estimation of a continuous distribution function from observations with measurement errors. We study minimax complexity of this problem when unknown distribution has a density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-27 I. Dattner , A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditsky

Change-of-measure is a powerful technique used across statistics, probability and analysis. Particularly known as Wald's likelihood ratio identity, the technique enabled the proof of a number of exact and asymptotic optimality results…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-16 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

The paper considers the problem of detecting and localizing changepoints in a sequence of independent observations. We propose to evaluate a local test statistic on a triplet of time points, for each such triplet in a particular collection.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jayoon Jang , Guenther Walther

In this paper, we propose a new generic method for detecting the number and locations of structural breaks or change points in piecewise linear models under stationary Gaussian noise. Our method transforms the change point detection problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Zhibing He , Dan Cheng , Yunpeng Zhao

In 1985, for detecting a change in distribution, Pollak introduced a specific minimax performance metric and a randomized version of the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure where the zero initial condition is replaced by a random variable sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, using an optimal partition approach, we study the parametric analysis of a second-order conic optimization problem, where the objective function is perturbed along a fixed direction. We characterize the notions of so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Ali Mohammad-Nezhad , Tamas Terlaky

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of observations having a single unknown change point is considered. The forms of the pre- and post-change distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero

We propose a quickest change detection problem over sensor networks where both the subset of sensors undergoing a change and the local post-change distributions are unknown. Each sensor in the network observes a local discrete time random…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

We propose a new technique for consistent estimation of the number and locations of the change-points in the structure of an irregularly spaced time series. The core of the segmentation procedure is the Ensemble Binary Segmentation method…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Karolos K. Korkas

Change point detection is becoming increasingly popular in many application areas. On one hand, most of the theoretically-justified methods are investigated in an ideal setting without model violations, or merely robust against identical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Mengchu Li , Yi Yu

We study the change detection problem with an unknown post-change distribution. Under this constraint, the unknown change in the distribution of observations may occur in many ways without much structure on the observations, whereas, before…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal