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This paper investigates change point detection in state space models, in which the pre-change distribution $f^{\theta_0}$ is given, while the poster distribution $f^{\theta}$ after change is unknown. The problem is to raise an alarm as soon…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Cheng-Der Fuh

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of a sequence of independent observations is studied. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be stationary, while the post-change distributions are allowed to be non-stationary.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-26 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

This paper addresses the problem of localizing change points in high-dimensional linear regression models with piecewise constant regression coefficients. We develop a dynamic programming approach to estimate the locations of the change…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-21 Alessandro Rinaldo , Daren Wang , Qin Wen , Rebecca Willett , Yi Yu

This paper considers a sequence of random variables generated according to a common distribution. The distribution might undergo periods of transient changes at an unknown set of time instants, referred to as change-points. The objective is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Javad Heydari , Ali Tajer

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

We study the problem of offline changepoint localization in a distribution-free setting. One observes a vector of data with a single changepoint, assuming that the data before and after the changepoint are iid (or more generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Rohan Hore , Aaditya Ramdas

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem, assuming that the duration of change may be finite and unknown. This problem is of importance for many applications, e.g., for signal and image processing where signals appear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Nikita R. Berenkov , Alexei E. Kolessa , Igor V. Nikiforov

This article comments on the new version of wild binary segmentation 2. Wild Binary Segmentation 2 and Steepest-drop Model Selection has made improvements on changepoint analysis especially on reducing the computational cost. However, WBS2…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Robert Lund , Xueheng Shi

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

This paper revisits the parametric analysis of semidefinite optimization problems with respect to the perturbation of the objective function along a fixed direction. We review the notions of invariancy set, nonlinearity interval, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Jonathan D. Hauenstein , Ali Mohammad-Nezhad , Tingting Tang , Tamas Terlaky

We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Modern time series data often exhibit complex dependence and structural changes which are not easily characterised by shifts in the mean or model parameters. We propose a nonparametric data segmentation methodology for multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Euan T. McGonigle , Haeran Cho

Despite of many measures applied for determine the difference between two groups of observations, such as mean value, median value, sample stan- dard deviation and so on, we propose a novel non parametric transformation method based on…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-30 Kang Li , Kai Fan

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in change point regressions, where the signal can be piecewise polynomial of arbitrary but fixed degree. That is we seek disjoint intervals which, uniformly at a given confidence level,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Piotr Fryzlewicz

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes in the distribution of a multi-dimensional time series, with limited computing power and memory. In this paper, we propose a new, simple method for model-free online change-point detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Nicolas Keriven , Damien Garreau , Iacopo Poli

Non-parametric and distribution-free two-sample tests have been the foundation of many change point detection algorithms. However, randomness in the test statistic as a function of time makes them susceptible to false positives and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-29 Kevin C. Cheng , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes , Shuchin Aeron

A new Bayesian modelling framework is introduced for piece-wise homogeneous variable-memory Markov chains, along with a collection of effective algorithmic tools for change-point detection and segmentation of discrete time series. Building…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

For the classical continuous-time quickest change-point detection problem it is shown that the randomized Shiryaev-Roberts-Pollak procedure is asymptotically nearly minimax-optimal (in the sense of Pollak 1985) in the class of randomized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Aleksey S. Polunchenko
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