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Under mild assumptions the equivalence of the mixed Poisson process with mixing parameter a real-valued random variable to the one with mixing distribution as well as to the mixed Poisson process in the sense of Huang is obtained, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

Recently, sharp results concerning the critical points of the Hamiltonian of the $p$-spin spherical spin glass model have been obtained by means of moments computations. In particular, these moments computations allow for the evaluation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Eliran Subag , Ofer Zeitouni

We investigate a spatial random graph model whose vertices are given as a marked Poisson process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Edges are inserted between any pair of points independently with probability depending on the spatial displacement of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Matthew Dickson , Markus Heydenreich

We show that the joint probability generating function of the stationary measure of a finite state asymmetric exclusion process with open boundaries can be expressed in terms of joint moments of Markov processes called quadratic harnesses.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Wlodek Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

Stacy distribution defined for the first time in 1961 provides a flexible framework for modelling of a wide range of real-life behaviours. It appears under different names in the scientific literature and contains many useful particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Mladen Savov , Assen Tchorbadjieff , Milan Stehlík

We study measures on random partitions, arising from condensing stochastic particle systems with stationary product distributions. We provide fairly general conditions on the stationary weights, which lead to Poisson-Dirichlet statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Paul Chleboun , Simon Gabriel , Stefan Grosskinsky

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Mauro Politi , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

It's a situation everyone dreads. A road is down to one lane for repairs. Traffic is let through one way until the backlog clears and then traffic is let through the other way to clear that backlog and so on. When stuck in a very long queue…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Robert D. Foley , David R. McDonald

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä

For a continuous-time random walk $X=\{X_t,t\ge 0\}$ (in general non-Markov), we study the asymptotic behavior, as $t\rightarrow \infty$, of the normalized additive functional $c_t\int_0^{t} f(X_s)ds$, $t\ge 0$. Similarly to the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yuri Kondratiev , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

We are interested in bounding probabilities of rare events in the context of computer experiments. These rare events depend on the output of a physical model with random input variables. Since the model is only known through an expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-21 Yves Auffray , Pierre Barbillon , Jean-Michel Marin

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

Random discrete distributions, say $F,$ known as species sampling models, represent a rich class of models for classification and clustering, in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. They also arise in various areas of probability and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Lanelot F. James

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

The unfolding of detector effects is a key aspect of comparing experimental data with theoretical predictions. In recent years, different Machine-Learning methods have been developed to provide novel features, e.g. high dimensionality or a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-12-17 Mathias Backes , Anja Butter , Monica Dunford , Bogdan Malaescu

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto
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