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The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-02 Kurt Cutajar , Edwin V. Bonilla , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric classification model that combines a Gaussian process prior for the latent function with a Dirichlet process prior for the link function, extending the interpretative framework of de Finetti…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Marcio Alves Diniz

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad

Bayesian multinomial logistic regression provides a principled, interpretable approach to multiclass classification, but posterior sampling becomes increasingly expensive as the model dimension grows. Prior work has studied scalability in…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jared D. Fisher , Kyle R. McEvoy

In this work, we present a novel, machine-learning approach for constructing Multiclass Interpretable Scoring Systems (MISS) - a fully data-driven methodology for generating single, sparse, and user-friendly scoring systems for multiclass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Michal K. Grzeszczyk , Tomasz Trzciński , Arkadiusz Sitek

We propose a data-driven technique to automatically learn contextual uncertainty sets in robust optimization, resulting in excellent worst-case and average-case performance while also guaranteeing constraint satisfaction. Our method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Irina Wang , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato

Logistic regression models for binomial responses are routinely used in statistical practice. However, the maximum likelihood estimate may not exist due to data separability. We address this issue by considering a conjugate prior penalty…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Tommaso Rigon , Emanuele Aliverti

While the accuracy of modern deep learning models has significantly improved in recent years, the ability of these models to generate uncertainty estimates has not progressed to the same degree. Uncertainty methods are designed to provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Adam M. Oberman , Chris Finlay , Alexander Iannantuono , Tiago Salvador

We propose an active set selection framework for Gaussian process classification for cases when the dataset is large enough to render its inference prohibitive. Our scheme consists of a two step alternating procedure of active set update…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-24 Ricardo Henao , Ole Winther

Doubly intractable problems occur when both the likelihood and the posterior are available only in unnormalised form, with computationally intractable normalisation constants. Bayesian inference then typically requires direct approximation…

It is a common practice in the machine learning community to assume that the observed data are noise-free in the input attributes. Nevertheless, scenarios with input noise are common in real problems, as measurements are never perfectly…

Well-known for its simplicity and effectiveness in classification, AdaBoost, however, suffers from overfitting when class-conditional distributions have significant overlap. Moreover, it is very sensitive to noise that appears in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-22 Zhi Xiao , Zhe Luo , Bo Zhong , Xin Dang

Multi-task learning requires accurate identification of the correlations between tasks. In real-world time-series, tasks are rarely perfectly temporally aligned; traditional multi-task models do not account for this and subsequent errors in…

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

Smoothed model checking based on Gaussian process classification provides a powerful approach for statistical model checking of parametric continuous time Markov chain models. The method constructs a model for the functional dependence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Paul Piho , Jane Hillston

Real-world object classes appear in imbalanced ratios. This poses a significant challenge for classifiers which get biased towards frequent classes. We hypothesize that improving the generalization capability of a classifier should improve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Munawar Hayat , Salman Khan , Waqas Zamir , Jianbing Shen , Ling Shao

Variational logistic regression is a popular method for approximate Bayesian inference seeing wide-spread use in many areas of machine learning including: Bayesian optimization, reinforcement learning and multi-instance learning to name a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-14 Michael Komodromos , Marina Evangelou , Sarah Filippi
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