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We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

This paper shows how to recover a stochastic volatility model (SVM) from a market model of the VIX futures term structure. Market models have more flexibility for fitting of curves than do SVMs, and therefore are better suited for pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Andrew Papanicolaou

We focus on mean-variance hedging problem for models whose asset price follows an exponential additive process. Some representations of mean-variance hedging strategies for jump type models have already been suggested, but none is suited to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-23 Takuji Arai , Yuto Imai

In this paper, we adopted a net liability model which assesses both market risk on the liability side and revenue risk on the asset side for a Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefit (GMMB) embedded in variable annuity (VA) contracts. Numeric…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Wenlong Hu

In the present paper we present a finite element approach for option pricing in the framework of a well-known stochastic volatility model with jumps, the Bates model. In this model the asset log-returns are assumed to follow a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-17 Edie Miglio , Carlo Sgarra

This study employs expected certainty equivalents to explore the reinsurance and investment issue pertaining to an insurer that aims to maximize the expected utility while being subject to random risk aversion. The insurer's surplus process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Jian-hao Kang , Zhun Gou , Nan-jing Huang

Valuation adjustments, collectively named XVA, play an important role in modern derivatives pricing to take into account additional price components such as counterparty and funding risk premia. They are an exotic price component carrying a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Lorenzo Silotto , Marco Scaringi , Marco Bianchetti

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

Multivariate subordinated L\'evy processes are widely employed in finance for modeling multivariate asset returns. We propose to exploit non-linear dependence among financial assets through multivariate cumulants of these processes, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Elvira Di Nardo , Marina Marena , Patrizia Semeraro

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

We propose and estimate a model of demand and supply of annuities. To this end, we use rich data from Chile, where annuities are bought and sold in a private market via a two-stage process: first-price auctions followed by bargaining. We…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-30 Gaurab Aryal , Eduardo Fajnzylber , Maria F. Gabrielli , Manuel Willington

Implied volatility is at the very core of modern finance, notwithstanding standard option pricing models continue to derive option prices starting from the joint dynamics of the underlying asset price and the spot volatility. These models…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-14 Claude Martini , Iacopo Raffaelli

It is well known that the minimal superhedging price of a contingent claim is too high for practical use. In a continuous-time model uncertainty framework, we consider a relaxed hedging criterion based on acceptable shortfall risks.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-07 Ludovic Tangpi

The purpose of this article is twofold. First, we motivate the need for a new type of stand-alone retirement income insurance product that would help individuals protect against personal longevity risk and possible "retirement ruin" in an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-14 Huaxiong Huang , Moshe A. Milevsky , Thomas S. Salisbury

This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the flexible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-21 Filip Zikes , Jozef Barunik

In this paper, we give a numerical method for pricing long maturity, path dependent options by using the Markov property for each underlying asset. This enables us to approximate a path dependent option by using some kinds of plain…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-01 Yuji Hishida , Kenji Yasutomi

Based on the concept of self-decomposability, we extend some recent multivariate L\'evy models built using multivariate subordination with the aim of capturing situations in which a sudden event in one market is propagated onto related…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying