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In the Naive Bayes classification model the class conditional densities are estimated as the products of their marginal densities along the cardinal basis directions. We study the problem of obtaining an alternative basis for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 David P. Hofmeyr , Francois Kamper , Michail C. Melonas

Abstaining classifiers have been widely used in cost-sensitive applications to avoid ambiguous classification and reduce the cost of misclassification. Previous abstaining classification models rely on cost information, such as a cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Hongjiao Guan

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

In high-stakes applications, predictive models must not only produce accurate predictions but also quantify and communicate their uncertainty. Reject-option prediction addresses this by allowing the model to abstain when prediction…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Vojtech Franc , Jakub Paplham

We study the minimax settings of binary classification with F-score under the $\beta$-smoothness assumptions on the regression function $\eta(x) = \mathbb{P}(Y = 1|X = x)$ for $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$. We propose a classification procedure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Evgenii Chzhen

In the statistical problem of denoising, Bayes and empirical Bayes methods can "overshrink" their output relative to the latent variables of interest. This work is focused on constrained denoising problems which mitigate such phenomena. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Adam Quinn Jaffe , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Bodhisattva Sen

When learning from positive and unlabelled data, it is a strong assumption that the positive observations are randomly sampled from the distribution of $X$ conditional on $Y = 1$, where X stands for the feature and Y the label. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Fengxiang He , Tongliang Liu , Geoffrey I Webb , Dacheng Tao

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

We consider the classic supervised learning problem, where a continuous non-negative random label $Y$ (i.e. a random duration) is to be predicted based upon observing a random vector $X$ valued in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $d\geq 1$ by means of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Guillaume Ausset , Stéphan Clémençon , François Portier

Confident prediction is highly relevant in machine learning; for example, in applications such as medical diagnoses, wrong prediction can be fatal. For classification, there already exist procedures that allow to not classify data when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

Within a Bayesian decision theoretic framework we investigate some asymptotic optimality properties of a large class of multiple testing rules. A parametric setup is considered, in which observations come from a normal scale mixture model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Małgorzata Bogdan , Arijit Chakrabarti , Florian Frommlet , Jayanta K. Ghosh

We provide a general theoretical analysis of expected out-of-sample utility, also referred to as decision-theoretic classification, for non-decomposable binary classification metrics such as F-measure and Jaccard coefficient. Our key result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-08 Nagarajan Natarajan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Pradeep Ravikumar , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Deep neural networks have shown impressive performance in supervised learning, enabled by their ability to fit well to the provided training data. However, their performance is largely dependent on the quality of the training data and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Abhishek Kumar , Ehsan Amid

We consider the problem of learning a binary classifier from only positive and unlabeled observations (called PU learning). Recent studies in PU learning have shown superior performance theoretically and empirically. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Yongchan Kwon , Wonyoung Kim , Masashi Sugiyama , Myunghee Cho Paik

We consider the situation where the observed sample contains some observations whose class of origin is known (that is, they are classified with respect to the g underlying classes of interest), and where the remaining observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-15 Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Daniel Ahfock

We study the population limit maximum regret (MR) of plug-in prediction when the decision problem is to choose between two treatments for the members of a population with observed covariates x. In this setting, the optimal treatment for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-10 Jeff Dominitz , Charles F. Manski

This paper considers multiple binary hypothesis tests with adaptive allocation of sensing resources from a shared budget over a small number of stages. A Bayesian formulation is provided for the multistage allocation problem of minimizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-05 Dennis Wei

We propose a learning setting in which unlabeled data is free, and the cost of a label depends on its value, which is not known in advance. We study binary classification in an extreme case, where the algorithm only pays for negative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-14 Sivan Sabato , Anand D. Sarwate , Nathan Srebro

Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

Complementary-Label Learning (CLL) is a weakly-supervised learning problem that aims to learn a multi-class classifier from only complementary labels, which indicate a class to which an instance does not belong. Existing approaches mainly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Wei-I Lin , Hsuan-Tien Lin