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Power flow (PF) calculations are fundamental to power system analysis to ensure stable and reliable grid operation. The Newton-Raphson (NR) method is commonly used for PF analysis due to its rapid convergence when initialized properly.…

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

We introduce a new framework for analyzing (Quasi-}Newton type methods applied to non-smooth optimization problems. The source of randomness comes from the evaluation of the (approximation) of the Hessian. We derive, using a variant of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Titus Pinta

The quantum statistical parton distributions approach proposed more than one decade ago is revisited by considering a larger set of recent and accurate Deep Inelastic Scattering experimental results. It enables us to improve the description…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-12-09 Claude Bourrely , Jacques Soffer

We address the problem of estimating the uncertainty in the solution of power grid inverse problems within the framework of Bayesian inference. We investigate two approaches, an adjoint-based method and a stochastic spectral method. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-15 Noemi Petra , Cosmin G. Petra , Zheng Zhang , Emil M. Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Many scientific and economic problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional time series datasets. However, theoretical studies in high-dimensional statistics to date rely primarily on the assumption of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sumanta Basu , George Michailidis

In many fields of science, comprehensive and realistic computational models are available nowadays. Often, the respective numerical calculations call for the use of powerful supercomputers, and therefore only a limited number of cases can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-22 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Gabriele Merlo , Frank Jenko

The univariate dimension reduction (UDR) method stands as a way to estimate the statistical moments of the output that is effective in a large class of uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. UDR's fundamental strategy is to approximate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Bingran Wang , Nicholas C. Orndorff , Mark Sperry , John T. Hwang

Building robust, interpretable, and secure AI system requires quantifying and representing uncertainty under a probabilistic perspective to mimic human cognitive abilities. However, probabilistic computation presents significant challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Hengyuan Ma , Yang Qi , Li Zhang , Wenlian Lu , Jianfeng Feng

This paper deals with the filtering problem for a class of discrete time stochastic volatility models in which the disturbances have rational probability density functions. This includes the Cauchy distributions and Student t-distributions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Bernard Hanzon , Wolfgang Scherrer

Neural operators (NOs) provide fast, resolution-invariant surrogates for mapping input fields to PDE solution fields, but their predictions can exhibit significant epistemic uncertainty due to finite data, imperfect optimization, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haoze Song , Zhihao Li , Mengyi Deng , Xin Li , Duyi Pan , Zhilu Lai , Wei Wang

Statistical inference in high dimensional settings has recently attracted enormous attention within the literature. However, most published work focuses on the parametric linear regression problem. This paper considers an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Qi Gao , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yao Li

Stochastic optimisation problems minimise expectations of random cost functions. We use 'optimise then discretise' method to solve stochastic optimisation. In our approach, accurate quadrature methods are required to calculate the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Yuancheng Zhou

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

We propose, analyze, and test a penalty projection-based efficient and accurate algorithm for the Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) of the time-dependent Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) flow problems in convection-dominated regimes. The algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-30 Muhammad Mohebujjaman , Julian Miranda , Md. Abdullah Al Mahbub , Mengying Xiao

The quantum statistical parton distributions approach proposed more than one decade ago is revisited by considering a larger set of recent and accurate Deep Inelastic Scattering experimental results. It enables us to improve the description…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-05 Jacques Soffer , Claude Bourrely

We develop and analyse numerical schemes for uncertainty quantification in neural field equations subject to random parametric data in the synaptic kernel, firing rate, external stimulus, and initial conditions. The schemes combine a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Daniele Avitabile , Francesca Cavallini , Svetlana Dubinkina , Gabriel J. Lord

In complex physical process characterization, such as the measurement of the regression rate for solid hybrid rocket fuels, where both the observation data and the model used have uncertainties originating from multiple sources, combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Georgios Georgalis , Kolos Retfalvi , Paul E. DesJardin , Abani Patra

We consider a sparse grid collocation method in conjunction with a time discretization of the differential equations for computing expectations of functionals of solutions to differential equations perturbed by time-dependent white noise.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Z. Zhang , M. V. Tretyakov , B. Rozovskii , G. E. Karniadakis

We consider the problem of providing optimal uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- and hence rigorous certification --- for partially-observed functions. We present a UQ framework within which the observations may be small or large in number,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 T. J. Sullivan , M. McKerns , D. Meyer , F. Theil , H. Owhadi , M. Ortiz
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