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In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Spectral methods, thanks to the high accuracy and the possibility of using fast algorithms, represent an effective way to approximate collisional kinetic equations in kinetic theory. On the other hand, the loss of some local invariants can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Lorenzo Pareschi , Thomas Rey

We develop a novel fast iterative moment method for the steady-state simulation of near-continuum flows, which are modeled by the high-order moment system derived from the Boltzmann-BGK equation. The fast convergence of the present method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Guanghan Li , Chunwu Wang , Zhicheng Hu

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

A method for the multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) estimation of statistical quantities is proposed which is applicable to computational budgets of any size. Based on a sequence of optimization problems each with a globally minimizing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Bayesian max-margin models have shown superiority in various practical applications, such as text categorization, collaborative prediction, social network link prediction and crowdsourcing, and they conjoin the flexibility of Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-19 Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Bayesian inference is often implemented using approximations, which can yield interval estimates that are too narrow, not fully capturing the uncertainty in the posterior distribution. We address the question of how to adjust these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Tiffany Cai , Philip Greengard , Ben Goodrich , Andrew Gelman

In this paper, we study a fixed-confidence, fixed-tolerance formulation of a class of stochastic bi-level optimization problems, where the upper-level problem selects from a finite set of systems based on a performance metric, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Yuhao Wang , Seong-Hee Kim , Enlu Zhou

In the present work, we present a novel numerical algorithm to couple the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo method (DSMC) for the solution of the Boltzmann equation with a finite volume like method for the solution of the Euler equations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Pierre Degond , Giacomo Dimarco

Traditional Monte Carlo methods for particle transport utilize source iteration to express the solution, the flux density, of the transport equation as a Neumann series. Our contribution is to show that the particle paths simulated within…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-03 J. Darby Smith , Rich Lehoucq , Brian Franke

We propose an entropic Fourier method for the numerical discretization of the Boltzmann collision operator. The method, which is obtained by modifying a Fourier Galerkin method to match the form of the discrete velocity method, can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Zhenning Cai , Yuwei Fan , Lexing Ying

We derive the partial differential equation (PDE) to which the pseudo-potential lattice Boltzmann method (P-LBM) converges under diffusive scaling, providing a rigorous basis for its consistency analysis. By establishing a direct link…

Bayesian Optimization is a useful tool for experiment design. Unfortunately, the classical, sequential setting of Bayesian Optimization does not translate well into laboratory experiments, for instance battery design, where measurements may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jose Pablo Folch , Robert M Lee , Behrang Shafei , David Walz , Calvin Tsay , Mark van der Wilk , Ruth Misener

This work addresses a central challenge in the numerical analysis of the cutoff spatially homogeneous Boltzmann equation: the development of rigorously justified, accurate numerical schemes. We present (i) a novel Fourier spectral method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Yanzhi Gui , Ling-Bing He , Liu Liu

Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fern\'andez-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-09 Yiming Zhang , Nam-Ho Kim , Chanyoung Park , Raphael T. Haftka

In recent years, the increasing interest in Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) schemes has highlighted the limitation arising from their inherent computational demand, which has restricted their applicability to slow-dynamics and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-22 Martina Mammarella , Teodoro Alamo , Fabrizio Dabbene , Matthias Lorenzen

In this paper, we propose a doubly stochastic spatial point process model with both aggregation and repulsion. This model combines the ideas behind Strauss processes and log Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood for this model is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-03 Ninna Vihrs , Jesper Møller , Alan E. Gelfand

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

We propose a Hermite spectral method for the spatially inhomogeneous Boltzmann equation. For the inverse-power-law model, we generalize an approximate quadratic collision operator defined in the normalized and dimensionless setting to an…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Zhicheng Hu , Zhenning Cai , Yanli Wang