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Accurate and timely hyperlocal weather predictions are essential for various applications, ranging from agriculture to disaster management. In this paper, we propose a novel approach that combines hyperlocal weather prediction and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Anita B. Agarwal , Rohit Rajesh , Nitin Arul

This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which is particularly suited for application over long time…

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Wind speed retrieval at sea surface is of primary importance for scientific and operational applications. Besides weather models, in-situ measurements and remote sensing technologies, especially satellite sensors, provide complementary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Matteo Zambra , Dorian Cazau , Nicolas Farrugia , Alexandre Gensse , Sara Pensieri , Roberto Bozzano , Ronan Fablet

Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the machine learning weather model ACE2,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Chris Kent , Adam A. Scaife , Nick J. Dunstone , Doug Smith , Steven C. Hardiman , Tom Dunstan , Oliver Watt-Meyer

Transportation agencies make critical operational decisions during hazardous weather events, including assessment of road conditions and resource allocation. In this study, machine learning models are developed to provide additional support…

In an era where climate change aggravates environmental uncertainties, the identification and detection of event precursors are becoming crucial to mitigate the impacts of disastrous natural hazards. While classical sensors such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Arthur Dérédel , Carlos Crispim-Junior , Pierre Lemaire , Johan Berthet , Laure Tougne Rodet

Machine Learning for aviation weather is a growing area of research for providing low-cost alternatives for traditional, expensive weather sensors; however, in the area of atmospheric visibility estimation, publicly available datasets,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Chad Mourning , Zhewei Wang , Justin Murray

We discuss an approach to probabilistic forecasting based on two chained machine-learning steps: a dimensional reduction step that learns a reduction map of predictor information to a low-dimensional space in a manner designed to preserve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-28 Nick Rittler , Carlo Graziani , Jiali Wang , Rao Kotamarthi

Rainfall prediction is one of the challenging and uncertain tasks which has a significant impact on human society. Timely and accurate predictions can help to proactively reduce human and financial loss. This study presents a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Nikhil Oswal

Modern time-domain surveys continuously monitor large swaths of the sky to look for astronomical variability. Astrophysical discovery in such data sets is complicated by the fact that detections of real transient and variable sources are…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Henrik Brink , Joseph W. Richards , Dovi Poznanski , Joshua S. Bloom , John Rice , Sahand Negahban , Martin Wainwright

Physics parameterizations are often needed for numerical weather prediction (NWP) of precipitation forecast. This is mainly because the resolutions of most computational atmospheric models are not fine enough to explicitly resolve sub-grid…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-19 Khanh Hung Mai , Duc Le , Kazuo Saito , Tomizawa Futo , Yohei Sawada

We present results for long term and intermediate term prediction algorithms applied to a simple mechanical model of a fault. We use long term prediction methods based, for example, on the distribution of repeat times between large events…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 S. L. Pepke , J. M. Carlson , B. E. Shaw

Precipitation is dependent on a myriad of atmospheric conditions. In this paper, we study how certain atmospheric parameters impact the occurrence of rainfall. We propose a data-driven, machine-learning based methodology to detect…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler

We present lightweight and efficient architectures to detect weather conditions from RGB images, predicting the weather type (sunny, rain, snow, fog) and 11 complementary attributes such as intensity, visibility, and ground condition, for a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hamed Ouattara , Pierre Duthon , Pascal Houssam Salmane , Frédéric Bernardin , Omar Ait Aider

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Recently, the use of machine learning in meteorology has increased greatly. While many machine learning methods are not new, university classes on machine learning are largely unavailable to meteorology students and are not required to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-16 Randy J. Chase , David R. Harrison , Amanda Burke , Gary M. Lackmann , Amy McGovern

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott