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Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

We derive a fluctuation theorem for generalized work distributions, related to bijective mappings of the phase spaces of two physical systems, and use it to derive a two-sided constraint maximum likelihood estimator of their free energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-01-15 A. M. Hahn , H. Then

Previous studies into the budget constraint of portfolio optimization problems based on statistical mechanical informatics have not considered that the purchase cost per unit of each asset is distinct. Moreover, the fact that the optimal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Takashi Shinzato

We study the statistical fluctuations (such as the variance) of causal set quantities, with particular focus on the causal set action. To facilitate calculating such fluctuations, we develop tools to account for correlations between causal…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-02-11 Heidar Moradi , Yasaman K. Yazdi , Miguel Zilhão

Two sets of objects of size $n$ are to be matched to each other based on i.i.d. costs associated to every pair of objects. Objects prefer to be matched as cheaply as possible, and a matching is said to be stable if there is no pair of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Daniel Ahlberg , Maria Deijfen , Tiffany Y. Y. Lo

We study the probability distribution and the escape rate in systems with delayed dissipation that comes from the coupling to a thermal bath. To logarithmic accuracy in the fluctuation intensity, the problem is reduced to a variational…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 M. I. Dykman , I. B. Schwartz

Running machine learning algorithms on large and rapidly growing volumes of data is often computationally expensive, one common trick to reduce the size of a data set, and thus reduce the computational cost of machine learning algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Shaojie Tang , Jing Yuan

In the era of big data, one of the key challenges is the development of novel optimization algorithms that can accommodate vast amounts of data while at the same time satisfying constraints and limitations of the problem under study. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Nicolas Loizou

Fluctuations in the statistical model of heavy ion collisions are studied. The role of statistics, relativity, constraints, decaying resonances and branching processes are investigated using this model. Also studied are thermodynamic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Aram Z. Mekjian

Engineering problems often involve data sources of variable fidelity with different costs of obtaining an observation. In particular, one can use both a cheap low fidelity function (e.g. a computational experiment with a CFD code) and an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-19 Alexey Zaytsev , Evgeny Burnaev

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

We introduce and solve a model of fermions hopping between neighbouring sites on a line with random Brownian amplitudes and open boundary conditions driving the system out of equilibrium. The average dynamics reduces to that of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-22 Denis Bernard , Tony Jin

The problem of determining the correct order of fluctuation of the optimal alignment score of two random strings of length $n$ has been open for several decades. It is known that the biased expected effect of a random letter-change on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Saba Amsalu , Raphael Hauser , Heinrich Matzinger

In this work the dynamics of a freely jointed random chain which fluctuates at constant temperature in some viscous medium is studied. The chain is regarded as a system of small particles which perform a brownian motion and are subjected to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Franco Ferrari , Jaroslaw Paturej , Thomas A. Vilgis

We consider the problem of recovering items matching a partially specified pattern in multidimensional trees (quadtrees and $k$-d trees). We assume the traditional model where the data consist of independent and uniform points in the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Nicolas Broutin , Ralph Neininger , Henning Sulzbach

I propose a variational approach to maximum pseudolikelihood inference of the Ising model. The variational algorithm is more computationally efficient, and does a better job predicting out-of-sample correlations than $L_2$ regularized…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-26 Charles K. Fisher

We consider rate swaps which pay a fixed rate against a floating rate in presence of bid-ask spread costs. Even for simple models of bid-ask spread costs, there is no explicit strategy optimizing an expected function of the hedging error.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-13 Christophe Michel , Victor Reutenauer , Denis Talay , Etienne Tanré

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

We introduce the discrete Green's function to elucidate how resource fluctuations determine flow fluctuations in a network optimizing a global cost function. To enhance the robustness of the network against fluctuations, we develop the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-06 K. Y. Henry Tsang , K. Y. Michael Wong

We consider a statistical model for symmetric matrix factorization with additive Gaussian noise in the high-dimensional regime, where the rank of the signal matrix to infer $M$ scales with its size $N$ as $M=\mathrm{o}(\sqrt{\ln N})$.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Jean Barbier , Justin Ko , Anas A. Rahman
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