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Related papers: Strategic Bayesian Asset Allocation

200 papers

This paper extends the tactical asset allocation literature by incorporating regime modeling using techniques from machine learning. We propose a novel model that classifies current regimes, forecasts the distribution of future regimes, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Dylan Sandfelder , André Fujita , Xiaowen Dong , Mihai Cucuringu

We consider online learning of ensembles of portfolio selection algorithms and aim to regularize risk by encouraging diversification with respect to a predefined risk-driven grouping of stocks. Our procedure uses online convex optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Mean-reverting behavior of individuals assets is widely known in financial markets. In fact, we can construct a portfolio that has mean-reverting behavior and use it in trading strategies to extract profits. In this paper, we show that we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sung Min Yoon

The success of a cross-sectional systematic strategy depends critically on accurately ranking assets prior to portfolio construction. Contemporary techniques perform this ranking step either with simple heuristics or by sorting outputs from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Daniel Poh , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

In this paper we consider the strategic asset allocation of an insurance company. This task can be seen as a special case of portfolio optimization. In the 1950s, Markowitz proposed to formulate portfolio optimization as a bicriteria…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Kerstin Dächert , Ria Grindel , Elisabeth Leoff , Jonas Mahnkopp , Florian Schirra , Jörg Wenzel

This work initiates research into the problem of determining an optimal investment strategy for investors with different attitudes towards the trade-offs of risk and profit. The probability distribution of the return values of the stocks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Andreas Nolte , Stephen R. Tate

Portfolio management is an essential component of investment strategy that aims to maximize returns while minimizing risk. This paper explores several portfolio management strategies, including asset allocation, diversification, active…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-13 Soumyadip Sarkar

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

We propose a novel portfolio selection approach that manages to ease some of the problems that characterise standard expected utility maximisation. The optimal portfolio is no longer defined as the extremum of a suitably chosen utility…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-29 P. Rossi , M. Tavoni , F. Cocco , R. Marschinski

Portfolio management problems are often divided into two types: active and passive, where the objective is to outperform and track a preselected benchmark, respectively. Here, we formulate and solve a dynamic asset allocation problem that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

This paper considers the problem of isolating a small number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) that suffice to capture the fundamental dimensions of variation in U.S. financial markets. First, the data is fit to a vector-valued Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-01 David Puelz , Carlos M. Carvalho , P. Richard Hahn

This paper compares a series of contemporary portfolio construction approaches by employing ten U.S. stocks (TSLA, WMT, BAC, GS, LLY, MRK, GOOG, META, AAPL and XOM) in a time frame from September 2023 to December 2025. The paper explores…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Ajay Kumar Verma , Shravya Barkam

The sparse portfolio selection problem is one of the most famous and frequently-studied problems in the optimization and financial economics literatures. In a universe of risky assets, the goal is to construct a portfolio with maximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Dimitris Bertsimas , Ryan Cory-Wright

Existing black-box portfolio management systems are prevalent in the financial industry due to commercial and safety constraints, though their performance can fluctuate dramatically with changing market regimes. Evaluating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Zinuo You , John Cartlidge , Karen Elliott , Menghan Ge , Daniel Gold

Stock recommendation is vital to investment companies and investors. However, no single stock selection strategy will always win while analysts may not have enough time to check all S&P 500 stocks (the Standard & Poor's 500). In this paper,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu

Attempts to allocate capital across a selection of different investments are often hampered by the fact that investors' decisions are made under limited information (no historical return data) and during an extremely limited timeframe.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-22 Christoph J. Börner , Ingo Hoffmann , Fabian Poetter , Tim Schmitz

We study optimal investment in a financial market having a finite number of assets from a signal processing perspective. We investigate how an investor should distribute capital over these assets and when he should reallocate the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sait Tunc , Suleyman S. Kozat

With the improvement of computer performance and the development of GPU-accelerated technology, trading with machine learning algorithms has attracted the attention of many researchers and practitioners. In this research, we propose a novel…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Huanming Zhang , Zhengyong Jiang , Jionglong Su