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We investigate the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to sample posterior distribution in a Bayesian inverse problem, where the likelihood function is random. Concretely, we consider the case where one has full field observations of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Emil Løvbak , Sebastian Krumscheid

We introduce the notion of Lyapunov exponents for random dynamical systems, conditioned to trajectories that stay within a bounded domain for asymptotically long times. This is motivated by the desire to characterize local dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Maximilian Engel , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Martin Rasmussen

This paper conducts sensitivity analysis of random constraint and variational systems related to stochastic optimization and variational inequalities. We establish efficient conditions for well-posedness, in the sense of robust Lipschitzian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

We introduce a multiscale test statistic based on local order statistics and spacings that provides simultaneous confidence statements for the existence and location of local increases and decreases of a density or a failure rate. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-07 Lutz Duembgen , Günther Walther

We consider component-wise equivariant estimation of order restricted location/scale parameters of a general bivariate distribution under quite general conditions on underlying distributions and the loss function. This paper unifies various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Naresh Garg , Neeraj Misra

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi

Limited resources motivate decomposing large-scale problems into smaller,``local" subsystems and stitching together the so-found solutions. We explore the physics underlying this approach and discuss the concept of ``local hardness", i.e.,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-24 Mutian Shen , Gerardo Ortiz , Zhiqiao Dong , Martin Weigel , Zohar Nussinov

This article introduces a method for estimating the smoothness of a stationary, isotropic Gaussian random field from irregularly spaced data. This involves novel constructions of higher-order quadratic variations and the establishment of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Wei-Liem Loh

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

This paper aims to lay the foundations for statistics over local fields, such as the field of $p$-adic numbers. Over such fields, we give characterizations for maximum likelihood estimation and conditional independence for multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Yassine El Maazouz , Ngoc Mai Tran

We analyze the conditions on the Taylor coefficients of an analytic function to admit global analytic continuation, complementing a recent paper of Breuer and Simon on general conditions for natural boundaries to form. A new summation…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Ovidiu Costin , Xiaoyue Xia

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

We consider random analytic functions given by a Taylor series with independent, centered complex Gaussian coefficients. We give a new sufficient condition for such a function to have bounded mean oscillations. Under a mild regularity…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Alon Nishry , Elliot Paquette

In this note we consider the stability of posterior measures occuring in Bayesian inference w.r.t. perturbations of the prior measure and the log-likelihood function. This extends the well-posedness analysis of Bayesian inverse problems. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Björn Sprungk

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We compute the skewness of the matter distribution arising from non-linear evolution and from non-Gaussian initial perturbations. We apply our result to a very generic class of models with non-Gaussian initial conditions and we estimate…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-12-30 Ruth Durrer , Roman Juszkiewicz , Martin Kunz , Jean-Philippe Uzan

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov

A finite point process is characterized by the distribution of the number of points (the size) of the process. In some applications, for example, in the context of packet flows in modern communication networks, it is of interest to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Ritwik Chaudhuri , Vladas Pipiras

Gaussian process models are commonly used as emulators for computer experiments. However, developing a Gaussian process emulator can be computationally prohibitive when the number of experimental samples is even moderately large. Local…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland
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