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Short Term Load forecasting in this paper uses input data dependent on parameters such as load for current hour and previous two hours, temperature for current hour and previous two hours, wind for current hour and previous two hours, cloud…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2009-12-08 Mrs. J. P. Rothe , Dr. A. K. Wadhwani , Dr. Mrs. S. Wadhwani

Nonlinear and delayed effects of covariates often render time series forecasting challenging. To this end, we propose a novel forecasting framework based on ridge regression with signature features calculated on sliding windows. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Nina Drobac , Margaux Brégère , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Over the past few decades, many applications of physics-based simulations and data-driven techniques (including machine learning and deep learning) have emerged to analyze and predict solar flares. These approaches are pivotal in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-07 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

The rapid expansion of wind and solar energy leads to an increasing volatility in the electricity generation. Previous studies have shown that storage devices provide an opportunity to balance fluctuations in the power grid. An economical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Lars Siemer , Wided Medjroubi

Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

Load forecasting is an integral part of power system operations and planning. Due to the increasing penetration of rooftop PV, electric vehicles and demand response applications, forecasting the load of individual and a small group of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-19 Ling Zhang , Baosen Zhang

This paper presents a data-driven method for producing annual continuous dynamic rating of power transformers to serve the long-term planning purpose. Historically, research works on dynamic rating have been focused on real-time/near-future…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Ming Dong

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Two-stage ensemble-based forecasting methods have been studied extensively in the wind power forecasting field. However, deep learning-based wind power forecasting studies have not investigated two aspects. In the first stage, different…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-30 Jiancheng Qin , Jin Yang , Ying Chen , Qiang Ye , Hua Li

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

Wind farms are an indispensable driver toward renewable and nonpolluting energy resources. However, as ideal sites are limited, placement in remote and challenging locations results in higher logistics costs and lower average wind speeds.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowe , Jonathan Keller , Yi Guo , Shuangwen Sheng , Jan Helsen

Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis
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